- Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
- Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
- Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
- TV: Reds.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-150) Cincinnati (+125)
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The Chicago Cubs (85-68) are set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (71-82) this Saturday at Great American Ball Park. The betting line has Chicago favored at -150, while Cincinnati’s odds are +125. The total runs for this matchup is projected to be 9. Starting pitchers for the game are Matthew Boyd and Nick Lodolo.

With a slugging percentage of .431, the Cubs have struck out 1,271 times while drawing 643 walks. They have driven in 772 runs and collected a total of 1,320 hits, holding an average of .252 at the plate. The team has recorded 261 doubles and launched 211 home runs this season. Overall, the Chicago Cubs score an average of 5.3 runs per game, ranking them first in Major League Baseball.
Chicago’s pitching staff has posted an earned run average of 4.19 (17th in MLB) while striking out 1,188 batters. This season, Cubs pitchers have allowed 227 home runs and 674 runs, ranking 13th in the league. With 471 walks issued, their FIP stands at 4.68. The Cubs have given up a total of 1,263 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and recorded 636 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.52, complemented by a team WHIP of 1.27.
The Cubs utilized 489 relievers this season, with the bullpen inheriting 217 runners—33.2% of whom have scored. The relievers have registered 52 holds (30th in MLB) and have entered 155 times with runners on base, appearing in 146 high-leverage situations. They saved 33 games but missed 27 of 60 opportunities, resulting in a save percentage of 55.0%. The bullpen has participated in 119 save situations this year.
Defensively, the Cubs have converted 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs across 12,294 innings, ranking third in professional baseball. They have marked 4,098 putouts, 1,448 assists, and committed 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is an impressive .990, placing them first in MLB, with 116 double plays completed.
Pitcher Matthew Boyd, who has a career record of 68-82, shows a FIP of 4.47 through facing 5,088 batters. He has yielded 1,160 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) while issuing 371 walks. Boyd’s ERA is 4.54 (606 earned runs allowed) with a career WHIP of 1.273. Across 1,202 innings, he has struck out 1,134 batters in his MLB tenure.
The Cincinnati Reds have recorded a .307 on-base percentage and a team batting average of .230 this season. They rank first in the league with 1,458 strikeouts and have recorded 1,168 hits. Cincinnati has hit 203 home runs and driven in 605 runs, with a slugging percentage of .396 and an average of 4.14 runs scored per game (26th in baseball). The team has also compiled 212 doubles alongside 534 walks and 633 runs scored.
The Reds’ pitching staff carries a team WHIP of 1.450 and a FIP of 4.81 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.20 (1,233 strikeouts against 638 walks). They rank 26th in total hits allowed, giving up 1,325 hits and 203 home runs, with a rate of 5.23 runs conceded per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff has allowed 787 runs thus far, with an ERA of 4.87 (733 earned runs).
Relievers for the Reds have a 27.1% inherited scoring percentage out of 240 inherited runners. They have come into play in high-leverage situations 180 times and have been tasked with runners on base 160 times, totaling 149 save situations. The Reds have recorded 83 holds alongside 22 blown saves, achieving a save percentage of 64.5% with 545 bullpen pitchers used this season.
Throughout 12,186 innings, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in MLB). They’ve turned 108 double plays with a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in professional baseball). This season, the Reds have tallied 1,227 assists, 87 errors, and 4,062 putouts.
Professional pitcher Nick Lodolo has allowed 481 hits while amassing 535 strikeouts in 505 innings. He has given up 240 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.266 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.36 as he has faced 2,175 batters in his career. Lodolo boasts a career record of 27-27 with a 4.27 ERA, allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in this MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Chicago (-150)
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