Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Outlook, 9/19/2026 WNBA Selection, Insights and Betting Lines

Home » Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Outlook, 9/19/2026 WNBA Selection, Insights and Betting Lines
 

  • Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
  • Broadcast: CBS
  • Point Spread: Phoenix (+8.5)

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On Saturday, the Dallas Wings (25-16) will host the Phoenix Mercury (15-26) at the College Park Center. The Wings are favored by 8.5 points, and the over/under for the game is set at 173.5.

In their previous contest, the Phoenix Mercury triumphed over the Portland Fire, finishing 94-91. Phoenix boasted a field goal accuracy of 49.1%, connecting on 28 out of 57 shots, including 12 of 25 from beyond the arc. The team excelled at the free throw line, sinking 26 of 30 attempts for an impressive 86.7% success rate. When it came to rebounds, the Mercury gathered 29 total, with 7 being offensive. They also recorded 23 assists, forced 17 turnovers from their opponents, and achieved 10 steals defensively. On the flip side, the Mercury allowed Portland to shoot 46.8% from the field, as the Fire made 29 of 62 shots. Portland managed 8 assists, 12 steals, and grabbed 25 boards (8 offensive, 17 defensive), along with 3 blocks. The Fire converted 21 of their 28 free throw attempts for a 75.0% shooting rate, hitting 12 of 30 three-point efforts.

WNBA forecasts Paige Bueckers Dallas Wings predictions best bet odds

Shay Ciezki made a notable contribution, scoring 22 points on 5 of 8 shooting. She played for 21 minutes and added 2 rebounds, finishing with a field goal percentage of 62.5% along with 3 assists.

The Phoenix Mercury enters this game with a record of 15-26 for the season. They are averaging 13.0 turnovers per game and committing 18.8 personal fouls. As a team, Phoenix grabs 31.5 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 828 assists this season, ranking 10th in the league for ball movement. The Mercury is shooting 33.1% from three-point range (327 of 988) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. They average 84.4 points per game, placing them 11th in the league, while their overall field goal shooting stands at 44.6%. On defense, Phoenix forces 13.1 turnovers per game but allows their opponents to have 21.5 fouls. They rank 12th in assists allowed, surrendering 875 assists thus far. Opponents are shooting 46.3% (537 of 883) against the Mercury, and they allow an average of 33.9 rebounds per game, conceding 35.9% from three-point range, ranking 8th in points allowed per game at 87.4.

In their last outing, the Dallas Wings secured a 97-77 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks. They dominated the boards with a total of 46 rebounds (36 defensive, 10 offensive) while committing 18 turnovers and achieving 9 steals. The Sparks incurred 12 fouls, granting the Wings 14 free throw attempts, of which they converted 11, yielding a 78.6% rate. From long range, Dallas hit 10 of 30 shots (33.3%). Overall, the Wings shot 38 of 75 from the field, resulting in a 50.7% shooting percentage. Conversely, they held the Sparks to 29 of 78 shooting (37.2%), including 7 of 25 from three-point territory and 12 of 19 from the free throw line (63.2%). Defensively, Dallas allowed Los Angeles to collect 27 rebounds in total (7 offensive).

Paige Bueckers played a pivotal role for the Wings, scoring 19 points with an impressive 8 of 13 shooting (61.5%) along with 6 rebounds and 3 assists in her 26 minutes on the court.

The Dallas Wings sport a record of 25-16 this season. Offensively, they shoot 46.8% from the field, ranking 4th in the WNBA. With a season total of 3,657 points (averaging 89.2 points per game), they secure 34.6 rebounds per game. The Wings dish out an average of 22.0 assists per game, second in the league, while averaging 11.1 turnovers. They commit 18.3 fouls per game and shoot 79.1% from the charity stripe. Defensively, Dallas ranks 5th in points allowed per game at 85.1, forcing 12.1 turnovers from their opponents. They permit teams to shoot 44.8% from the field (7th in the league) and 33.4% from three-point range, while also allowing 19.8 assists and 33.4 rebounds per game, placing them 4th and 7th, respectively.

Who will cover the spread in this WNBA matchup tonight?

Prediction: Take Phoenix (+8.5)

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Pick: Phoenix Mercury (+8.5)
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