- Matchup: Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins
- Scheduled Date: Monday, June 23, 2025
- Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
- Broadcasting On: Twins.TV
- Betting Odds: Seattle (-182) Minnesota (+150)
The Seattle Mariners (37-36) will face off against the Minnesota Twins (37-37) at Target Field on Monday. Seattle enters this contest as the favorite at -182, while Minnesota is listed at +150. The over/under for this matchup is set at 9 runs, with Bryan Woo and Bailey Ober named as the starting pitchers.
This season, the Mariners have registered 98 doubles and launched 91 home runs. Seattle showcases a slugging percentage of .394, recording 649 strikeouts while also drawing walks 265 times. As a team, the Mariners average 4.3 runs per game, placing them 13th in Major League Baseball. They have notched 306 RBIs alongside 600 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .242 and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .322 with a total of 317 runs scored.
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Seattle has a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.67, and their pitching staff maintains a WHIP of 1.28. The Mariners have surrendered 84 home runs and 315 runs overall, placing them 18th in the league. They’ve allowed 625 hits, averaging 8.5 hits per 9 innings, and their earned run tally stands at 284, resulting in a team ERA of 3.87 this season (15th in the league). The Mariners’ pitching has recorded 596 strikeouts while issuing 223 walks, and their FIP sits at 4.05 for the year.
This season, the Mariners have used 245 relievers. The bullpen has faced 59 inherited runners, with about 25.4% scoring. They’ve secured 19 saves but missed 12 opportunities from 31 chances, giving them a save percentage of 61.3% across 65 save situations. The relievers have achieved 34 holds in total (27th in the league), entering high leverage situations 96 times.
The San Francisco Giants have tallied 1,983 putouts this year, with 637 assists and 28 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .989, good enough for 3rd in MLB. The Mariners convert 70.0% of balls in play into outs, ranking 16th in the majors as they have played 5,949 innings.
Bryan Woo has pitched 298 innings in his career, compiling 272 strikeouts. With a career record of 19-12, Woo has a FIP of 3.30, facing 1,193 batters, and holding an ERA of 3.35 with 111 earned runs allowed. He has permitted 241 hits (7.3 per nine innings) while issuing 58 walks.
The Minnesota Twins currently possess an OBP of .315 and a batting average of .243. They rank 17th in the league with 616 strikeouts and have amassed 605 hits. This season, the Twins have hit 81 home runs, producing 302 RBIs, and maintain a team slugging percentage of .395, scoring 4.24 runs per game (17th in baseball). They’ve recorded 119 doubles, drawn 219 walks, and scored a total of 314 runs.
As a staff, the Twins maintain a WHIP of 1.222 and a FIP of 3.70. They boast a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.90, with 641 strikeouts against 197 walks, placing them 15th in MLB for hits allowed with 595. They’ve given up 77 home runs and yield 4.21 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league), with their pitching staff allowing 303 runs in total; their ERA stands at 3.90 (281 earned runs).
Twins’ relief pitchers have a rate of 35.6% for inherited runners scoring out of 73 inherited situations. Their relievers have stepped into 90 high leverage situations and 52 times with runners on base. Out of 79 save opportunities, the Twins have achieved 50 holds and encountered 13 blown saves, ranking 26th in MLB with a save percentage of 51.9%. They have utilized 252 relievers this season, securing 14 saves from 27 save chances.
The Minnesota Twins have turned 35 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in baseball). They have accumulated a total of 547 assists, 36 errors, and 1,944 putouts this season. Over 5,832 innings played, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (19th in the league).
Bailey Ober (29-25 career record) has a 3.88 ERA, permitting 8.0 hits per nine innings. With a K/BB ratio of 4.44, he has faced 2,240 batters in his MLB journey, allowing 237 ERs along with a WHIP of 1.116 and a FIP of 3.8. Throughout his career, Ober has allowed 491 hits and amassed 546 strikeouts in 550 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Opt for Minnesota (+150)
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