- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
- Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: YES Network
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+125) | New York (-150)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (96-61) are set to battle the New York Yankees (90-67) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. Current odds place Tampa Bay at +125 and New York at -150, with a total over/under of 9 runs. The starting pitchers expected for this matchup are Freddy Peralta and Cam Schlittler.
This season, the Tampa Bay Rays are averaging 4.5 runs per game, ranking them at 11th in Major League Baseball. With 713 runs scored and a solid on-base percentage of .327, they’ve secured 219 doubles and hit 164 home runs. Collectively, the Rays have driven in 678 runs and amassed 1,359 hits, boasting a team batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage is .402, but they’ve struck out 1,099 times while drawing 497 walks this year.
The Rays’ K/BB ratio stands at 3.29, and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.13. This season, Rays pitchers have allowed 193 home runs and 627 runs scored, ranking them 6th in MLB. They’ve allowed 1,193 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) along with 572 earned runs, producing a team earned run average of 3.67 (7th in baseball) with 1,285 strikeouts. Their pitching unit has issued 390 walks, and their FIP is 4.00 this year.
Rays relievers have faced opponents on base 129 times and had 157 appearances in high leverage situations. They’ve accumulated 112 holds this season, ranking 1st league-wide. The bullpen has a save rate of 75.0%, having entered 189 save situations and successfully locked down 57 saves while failing 19 times out of 76. Overall, the Rays have dispatched 501 relief pitchers this year.
Defensively, the Rays have converted 72.4% of balls in play into outs, ranking them 1st in professional baseball. They’ve registered a total of 4,203 putouts, alongside 1,242 assists and 89 errors, holding a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in the majors) and recording 97 double plays.
Freddy Peralta has logged 981 innings with a career total of 1,192 strikeouts. He carries a career record of 74-44, with a FIP of 3.53 after facing 4,049 hitters in MLB. His ERA stands at 3.59 (391 earned runs), and his WHIP is 1.124, allowing 731 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 372 walks.
On the other hand, the Yankees feature a slugging percentage of .408 and average 4.56 runs per game (9th in MLB). With 218 doubles, 559 walks, and 716 runs scored this season, New York has also hit 217 home runs and driven in 684 runs. The team has been struck out 1,439 times (6th in the league) and has 1,214 hits, while holding an OBP of .310 and a batting average of .234.
The Yankees’ staff boasts a WHIP of 1.162 with a FIP of 3.69. As a unit, they rank 3rd in MLB for total hits allowed (1,165). Their pitching corps has conceded 582 runs this season, leading to a team ERA of 3.22 (502 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (1,404 strikeouts against 468 walks) and they’ve surrendered 159 home runs, yielding 3.73 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).
The Yankees’ relief pitchers showcase an inherited score percentage of 22.6% from 266 inherited runners. They’ve appeared 174 times in high leverage situations and 186 times with runners on base. In 162 save situations, they have accumulated 86 holds and 28 blown saves, posting a save rate of 61.6%, ranking 17th in MLB with 516 reliever appearances this year.
Throughout 12,648 innings, the Yankees have maintained a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (5th in MLB). They’ve turned 123 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). This season, they’ve tallied 1,366 assists, 92 errors, and 4,216 putouts.
Cam Schlittler has allowed 184 hits and gained 318 strikeouts over 263 frames. He’s given up 65 earned runs, sporting a WHIP of 0.995 and a FIP of 2.2. With a K/BB ratio at 4.08, he has faced 1,051 opposing batters thus far, holding an 18-9 career record and a remarkable 2.22 ERA, conceding 6.3 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Go with New York (-150)
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