Matchup: Fresno State Bulldogs vs Hawaii Warriors
Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
Venue: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
Broadcast: ESPN/ESPN+
Betting Odds: Warriors (+3.0)
Total Points (Over-Under): 47.5
On Saturday, September 20, 2025, the Hawaii Warriors (2-1) will face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs (2-1) at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Fresno State enters this contest as 3.0-point favorites, with the total set at 47.5 points.
Fresno State comes into this game boasting a 2-1 season record. In their most recent outing, the Bulldogs triumphed over the Southern Jaguars with a resounding 56-7 victory. They managed 41 rushing attempts, gaining 225 yards for an impressive average of 5.5 yards per carry. Overall, Fresno State executed 71 plays for a total of 507 yards. Defensively, they allowed 10 completions on 18 attempts for 131 yards, achieving a 55.6% completion rate. On the ground, the Bulldogs allowed a mere 11 yards on 27 carries, averaging just 0.4 yards per run.
In terms of scoring, the Bulldogs average 35.3 points per game. Their rushing attack generates 202.5 yards each game, placing them 37th nationally. This season, Fresno State has accumulated 1,568 total yards. They’ve scored 4 touchdowns through the air and 12 on the ground. Offensively, they’ve secured 88 first downs but have faced challenges with 18 penalties totaling 180 yards. The Bulldogs have turned the ball over 8 times.
Defensively, Fresno State has yielded 853 passing yards, ranking them 127th in Division 1. They allow 213.3 yards through the air on average with a completion rate of 67.0%. Overall, they’re allowing 323.8 yards per game, which puts them 61st in D-1, surrendering 9 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns. Their opponents average 3.7 yards per rushing attempt, totaling 110.5 yards per game this season. In 4 games, Fresno State has allowed 442 rushing yards, ranking them 63rd in points conceded, allowing 19.8 points per game.
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The Warriors bring a 2-1 record into this matchup. In their last game, they emerged victorious with a score of 23-3 against the Portland State Vikings. The team racked up a total of 357 yards, running 74 plays for an average of 4.8 yards per play. Hawaii managed 107 rushing yards on 29 attempts, averaging 3.7 yards per carry, while their defense allowed 41 yards on 23 rushing attempts (1.8 yards per carry). In the passing game, Hawaii’s defense allowed a 65.7% completion rate, surrendering 189 yards on 23 completions of 35 attempts.
When it comes to scoring, the Warriors rank 99th nationally with an average of 22.0 points per game. They average 337.7 total yards per game, placing them 102nd in Division 1. The Hawaii offense has accumulated 208 yards in penalties across 21 infractions, ranking them 39th nationally in aiding the opposition. They’ve thrown 4 interceptions and lost 4 fumbles, scoring 65 first downs so far. This season, Hawaii has achieved 727 passing yards, averaging 242.3 passing yards per game, good for 57th in Division 1, while their ground game averages 95.3 yards per game with a total of 286 rushing yards.
Defensively, Hawaii is conceding 26.7 points per game, ranking 94th in the nation. They have allowed a total of 439 rushing yards (146.3 yards per game) along with 5 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they have given up 2 passing touchdowns and 143.0 yards per outing, ranking them 25th in the country. The Warriors’ defense has participated in 189 plays, putting them 63rd in college football. They have yet to recover any fumbles and have recorded 2 interceptions this season, having allowed 80 points overall.
Who will claim victory in this Bulldogs vs Warriors college football matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bulldogs to cover -3.0
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