- Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
- Location: LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
- TV: MLB.TV
- Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-152) Miami (+126)
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The Atlanta Braves (92-65) are headed to LoanDepot Park this Friday for a matchup against the Miami Marlins (77-80). The moneyline for this encounter has the Braves at -152 while the Marlins are priced at +126, with a total set at 9 runs. On the mound for this clash will be Grant Holmes and Eury Perez.
As a unit, the Atlanta Braves average 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 8th in Major League Baseball (MLB). With 722 runs scored and an on-base percentage (OBP) of .311, the Braves have hit 246 doubles and launched 198 home runs. They’ve accumulated 692 runs batted in (RBIs) with 1,313 hits this season, showcasing a team batting average of .248. Their slugging percentage stands at .410, with 1,271 strikeouts and 452 walks drawn.
On the pitching side, the Braves possess a solid team earned run average (ERA) of 3.62, placing them 5th overall in MLB. Their pitchers have combined for 1,314 strikeouts, while allowing 176 home runs and 606 runs (4th in MLB). They have issued 519 walks, resulting in a fielding independent pitching (FIP) of 4.09. This season, Atlanta’s pitchers have conceded 1,221 hits (averaging 7.9 hits allowed per 9 innings) along with 560 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk (K/BB) ratio is 2.53, leading to a WHIP of 1.25.
The Braves’ bullpen showcases a save rate of 72.1% with 178 opportunities throughout the season. They’ve secured 49 saves and experienced 19 blown saves. The relievers have inherited 171 base runners, with 21.1% crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have entered high-leverage situations 171 times this year, with a total of 483 relievers used across the season. They’ve recorded 105 holds, placing them 4th in the league.
Defensively, the Braves have logged 4,182 putouts, alongside 1,300 assists and 65 errors, contributing to a .988 fielding percentage—ranking them 5th in the majors. Their double plays total 127, with 71.3% of balls put in play converted into outs over 12,546 innings, placing them 6th in professional baseball.
Holmes, with a career record of 16-15, holds a FIP of 3.62 and has faced 1,399 batters in MLB. He has surrendered 299 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) along with 128 walks. His earned run average is 3.68 (135 earned runs) and boasts a WHIP of 1.293, having pitched 330 innings and secured 307 strikeouts in his professional career.
The Miami Marlins have hit 162 home runs and driven in 670 RBIs this season, alongside recording 238 doubles. They have drawn 540 walks, scoring a total of 700 runs. With a team OBP of .327 and a batting average of .249, the Marlins have generated a slugging percentage of .400, averaging 4.46 runs per game (16th in the league). They’ve struck out 1,310 times (16th in MLB) and notched 1,306 hits.
Miami’s pitching crew possesses a WHIP of 1.288 and a team FIP of 4.17. They have allowed a total of 1,236 hits, placing them 8th in MLB, and given up 697 runs, culminating in a 4.13 ERA (635 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.30 (1,282 strikeouts versus 547 walks), with 167 home runs allowed, averaging 4.53 runs per nine innings (15th in MLB).
Ranked 20th in save percentage at 60.0%, the Marlins have sent 528 relievers to the mound this season. Their bullpen has engaged in 159 high-leverage situations and entered 145 times with runners on base. From 147 save opportunities, Miami has earned 88 holds and experienced 22 blown saves. In save chances, they’ve secured 33 saves, with an inherited score percentage of 28.4% from 201 inherited base runners.
In 12,459 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.5%, ranking 11th in MLB. Their defense has turned 109 double plays, with a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). Miami has recorded 1,312 assists, 98 errors, and 4,153 putouts this season.
Throughout his career, Perez has allowed 263 hits while accumulating 375 strikeouts over 336 innings pitched. He’s conceded 146 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.169 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 2.88 after facing 1,390 batters. Perez holds a career record of 19-23 with a 3.91 ERA, allowing 7.0 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB game, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Pick: Bet on Atlanta (-152)
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