- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+120) Toronto (-144)
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This Friday, the Cincinnati Reds (73-84) will visit Rogers Centre to challenge the Toronto Blue Jays (77-80). The moneyline for this matchup shows the Reds at +120, while the Blue Jays are favored at -144. The total runs line is set at 8. Starting pitchers for the game are Nick Lodolo and Jose Soriano.
The Reds are currently achieving a slugging percentage of .394 and have faced 1,492 strikeouts while also recording 546 walks. They boast a total of 616 RBIs alongside 1,194 hits this season, culminating in a batting average of .229. Cincinnati has hit 213 doubles and launched 207 home runs, tallying 646 runs with an on-base percentage of .306. As a whole, the Reds are scoring an average of 4.1 runs per game, placing them 27th in MLB.
Cincinnati’s strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 1.94, and their pitching crew has a combined WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have given up 209 home runs and a total of 805 runs (28th in MLB). They have allowed 1,362 hits (averaging 8.8 per 9 innings) and 751 earned runs, holding a team ERA of 4.86 for the season, which is also 28th in the league. The pitching staff has registered 1,261 strikeouts while issuing 651 walks, with a collective FIP of 4.82.
This season, the Reds have utilized 557 relief pitchers, with 27.1% of inherited runners scoring. Their bullpen has recorded 86 holds (12th in the league) and has entered high-leverage situations 181 times. With 41 saves and 22 blown saves out of 63 opportunities, Cincinnati’s bullpen has a save rate of 65.1% in 153 save situations.
The Cincinnati Reds have achieved 4,170 putouts, 1,260 assists, and 87 errors this season. Their fielding percentage is .984, ranking them 20th in MLB, with 111 double plays. They have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 12,510 innings, placing them 19th in baseball.
Lodolo has pitched a total of 512 innings and accomplished 536 strikeouts throughout his professional career. His ERA stands at 4.27 (243 earned runs allowed) with a WHIP of 1.265, permitting 487 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and issuing 161 walks. Holding a career record of 27-28, Lodolo has faced 2,204 batters in his major league journey, bearing a FIP of 4.20.
The Blue Jays have belted 149 home runs and driven in 601 RBIs this season. They’ve executed 247 doubles, collected 444 walks, and scored 632 runs. Toronto holds a team on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .248. Their slugging percentage is .382, averaging 4.03 runs per game (30th in baseball). The team has struck out 1,116 times (29th in MLB) and achieved 1,311 hits this season.
The Toronto pitching staff has allowed 675 runs while maintaining a team ERA of 3.92 (606 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 163 home runs and average 4.36 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Blue Jays currently have a team WHIP of 1.301 along with a FIP of 4.00. They boast a K/BB ratio of 8.80, amassing 1,365 strikeouts against 581 walks, ranking 7th in baseball for overall hits allowed (1,231).
Toronto’s relievers have an inherited scoring rate of 25.9% from their 247 inherited base runners. Relief pitchers have taken the mound 190 times during high-pressure scenarios and 169 times with runners on base. In 177 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 104 holds and 17 blown saves, charting a save rate of 75.0%, ranking 4th in MLB, utilizing 590 relief pitchers this year.
With 106 double plays turned and a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in MLB), the Toronto Blue Jays have compiled 1,318 assists, 96 errors, and 4,179 putouts this season. Over 12,537 innings played, their defensive efficiency stands at 70.1% (13th in professional baseball).
Throughout his career, Soriano has allowed 332 hits while racking up 345 strikeouts in 375 innings pitched. He has given up 167 earned runs, posting a WHIP of 1.317. With a FIP of 3.9, Soriano holds a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.13, having faced 1,595 opposing hitters. His win-loss record is currently 20-23, with a 4.01 ERA and 8.0 hits surrendered per 9 innings.
Who will prevail in tonight’s MLB showdown, covering the spread or earning the moneyline victory?
Prediction: Opt for Cincinnati (+120)
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