- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Game Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
- Broadcast: NBC Sports Philadelphia
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+106), Philadelphia (-128)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (96-63) travel to Citizens Bank Park this Saturday to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (87-72). Betting lines show the Rays at +106 and the Phillies at -128, with an over/under set at 8 runs. The expected starters for this match are Griffin Jax and Jose Urquidy.
The Tampa Bay Rays average 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 11th in the league. This season, they’ve scored 719 runs and achieved a team OBP of .326. The Rays have hit 221 doubles and 165 home runs, resulting in 683 RBIs and a total of 1,374 hits, boasting a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage stands at .400, with 1,116 strikeouts and 507 walks drawn.
The Rays maintain a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.28 and their pitching collective has a WHIP of 1.14. They have permitted 199 home runs and 642 overall runs, placing 7th in the league. Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 1,212 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 587 earned runs, resulting in a yearly ERA of 3.73 (8th in the league). This pitching staff has recorded 1,303 strikeouts, walked 397 batters, and has a team FIP of 4.03 this season.
This season, Rays relievers have taken the mound 508 times, inheriting 188 runners with a 33.0% scoring rate. The bullpen has secured 112 holds (2nd in MLB). Rays pitchers have entered games with runners on base 132 times, resulting in 159 high-leverage appearances, and have registered 57 saves this season, failing to convert 20 of 77 save opportunities. The Rays’ save rate stands at 74.0% across 190 save situations.
This season, the Tampa Bay Rays have logged 4,251 putouts, 1,254 assists, and 91 errors, leading to a .984 fielding percentage, which ranks them 21st in the league. They have successfully converted 72.3% of balls in play into outs throughout their 12,753 innings, placing them first in MLB.
Griffin Jax has pitched a total of 465 innings in his career, collecting 520 strikeouts thus far. He sports a career ERA of 3.95 after allowing 204 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.163. Jax has surrendered 402 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and issued 139 walks. Holding a career win-loss record of 31-41, his FIP stands at 3.89, having faced 1,932 hitters in the majors.
The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied 180 home runs and 684 RBIs this season. With 238 doubles, 517 walks, and 705 runs scored, their team OBP is .312, alongside a batting average of .240. The Phillies’ slugging percentage is .395, averaging 4.43 runs per game (18th in the league). They have been struck out 1,299 times (20th in MLB) and have 1,278 hits to their name.
This season, the Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.284 and a FIP of 3.78. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 9.90 (1,548 strikeouts against 477 walks). Ranking 21st in MLB for total hits allowed, they have permitted 1,335 hits, lost 187 homers, and allowed 4.34 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). Their season total of runs allowed is 681, with an ERA of 4.01 (629 earned runs allowed).
The Philadelphia bullpen has an inherited score rate of 38.0% from 166 inherited runners. Their relievers have been utilized 158 times in high-leverage situations and on 119 occasions with runners on base. With 140 save opportunities, they’ve notched 73 holds and blown 23 saves. Currently ranked 15th in the league, the Phillies have a save percentage of 64.6% having dispatched 520 relief pitchers this season.
The Phillies have recorded 104 double plays and boast a .986 fielding percentage (14th in MLB). Additionally, they have compiled 1,314 assists, 78 errors, and gathered 4,234 putouts this season. In their 12,702 innings played, the Phillies’ defensive efficiency is at 67.9% (28th in baseball).
In his career, Jose Urquidy has given up 375 hits while striking out 335 batters across 411 innings. He has allowed 181 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.9, with a K/BB ratio of 3.35. Urquidy (27-16 career record) maintains a 3.96 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings.
Which team will secure the win tonight against the spread or on the moneyline?
Pick: Bet on Philadelphia (-128)
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