- Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
- Event Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: Padres.TV
- Betting Odds: Arizona (+126) San Diego (-152)
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On Saturday, Petco Park will host a thrilling matchup between the San Diego Padres (89-70) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (85-74). Arizona is currently set at +126 on the moneyline, while San Diego opens at -152. The total for the game is pegged at 8.5 runs, featuring starting pitchers Corbin Burnes and Walker Buehler.
This season, the Diamondbacks have recorded 265 doubles and launched 162 home runs as a team. Their slugging percentage stands at .402, with 1,175 strikeouts against 526 walks. Averaging 4.5 runs per game, the Diamondbacks rank 12th in MLB, accumulating 686 RBIs and 1,315 hits, along with a team batting average of .246 and a total of 717 runs scored, achieving a .317 on-base percentage.
The Diamondbacks possess a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and their pitching unit involves a WHIP of 1.27. They have allowed 183 home runs and given up 707 runs (15th in the league). With 1,334 hits allowed (averaging 8.5 per 9 innings) and 646 earned runs, the team holds a 4.10 ERA (13th in MLB) and has struck out 1,118 batters. They’ve also issued 471 walks, giving them a FIP of 4.33 for the season.
The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has successfully converted 67.9% of save opportunities, with 38 saves amidst 141 chances. They have not converted 18 of their 56 save opportunities. This season, the relievers have faced 202 inherited runners, with 26.7% crossing the plate. The bullpen has entered 140 high-leverage situations throughout the year. So far, the Diamondbacks have used 536 relievers, achieving 84 holds (15th in MLB).
On defense, the Diamondbacks have converted 71.3% of balls in play into outs over 12,753 innings, ranking 6th in MLB. They’ve tallied 4,251 putouts, 1,368 assists, and 64 errors, resulting in a .989 fielding percentage, good for 3rd in the league, alongside 135 double plays.
Corbin Burnes, with a 63-38 career record, showcases a FIP of 3.15, having faced 3,961 batters. He has given up 768 hits (averaging 7.1 hits per nine innings) and issued 284 walks. With a 3.20 ERA (348 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.076, Burnes has pitched 978 innings and struck out 1,122 batters in his MLB journey.
The Padres, on the other hand, have a team slugging percentage of .397 and score an average of 4.40 runs per game (19th in MLB). They’ve amassed 230 doubles, 180 home runs, and 699 RBIs, with 1,288 strikeouts (ranked 21st) and 1,280 hits. Their team on-base percentage stands at .318, accompanied by a batting average of .243 this season.
As a pitching staff, the Padres hold a WHIP of 1.289 and a FIP of 4.16. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30, yielding 1,295 strikeouts versus 539 walks. They rank 13th in the league for total hits allowed with 1,278 and have permitted 176 home runs, averaging 4.21 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Padres have relinquished 659 runs, holding a 3.93 team ERA (615 earned runs).
With a save percentage of 71.6%, the Padres have utilized 540 relievers this season. Their relief pitchers have been in 185 high-leverage situations and 152 instances with runners on base. With 177 save opportunities, they’ve achieved 105 holds and recorded 19 blown saves. In 67 save opportunities, the Padres’ relievers secured 48 saves and inherited a score percentage of 31.2% from 247 inherited runners.
This season, the Padres have played 12,684 innings and achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (10th in MLB). They’ve recorded 128 double plays and hold a .989 fielding percentage, ranking 2nd overall. The Padres have 1,401 assists, 63 errors, and 4,228 putouts to their credit.
Throughout his career, Buehler has allowed 863 hits while he has notched 974 strikeouts in 989 innings pitched. He has relinquished 404 earned runs, holding a WHIP of 1.183 and a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 3.17, with 4,100 batters faced in his professional career. Buehler holds a career record of 66-35, boasting a 3.68 ERA and allowing an average of 7.9 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
My Prediction: San Diego (-152)
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