- Matchup: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: ABC
- Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+4.5)
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The Las Vegas Aces (31-13) host the Indiana Fever (28-16) at Michelob ULTRA Arena for Game 1 of their first-round playoff series. Indiana enters this matchup as underdogs by 4.5 points, with the over/under line established at 182.5.
In their previous outing, the Indiana Fever faced the Minnesota Lynx, resulting in an 86-66 defeat. Indiana concluded the game with a 34.2% field goal percentage, making 25 of 73 attempts and hitting just 5 of 32 from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, the Fever converted 11 of 20 attempts, translating to a 55.0% success rate. They grabbed a total of 43 rebounds, 16 of which were offensive. The Fever also managed 13 assists, forced 13 turnovers, and recorded 9 steals. On the defensive end, Indiana allowed their opponents to shoot 44.0% from the field, with Minnesota making 33 of 75 shots, complemented by 10 assists and 4 steals from the Lynx. Minnesota secured 44 rebounds (10 offensive, 34 defensive) and recorded 3 blocks, while converting 83.3% of their free throws by hitting 5 of 6 attempts and sinking 15 of their 40 three-point shots.
Kelsey Mitchell was a key player for Indiana, finishing with 10 points on 3 of 12 shooting. She logged 22 minutes on the court and added 2 rebounds along with 1 assist, shooting 25.0% overall in the game.
Currently, Indiana holds a record of 28-16 this season. They average 13.3 turnovers per game and are committing 21.3 fouls each outing. Collectively, Indiana grabs 33.4 rebounds per game and has tallied 910 assists this year, ranking 8th in the league for team assists. The Fever are shooting 38.6% from beyond the arc (452 of 1,170) and boasting an impressive 80.7% free-throw shooting percentage. Their scoring average sits at 96.0 points per game, leading the league. Defensively, Indiana is forcing 12.7 turnovers per game and drawing 22.1 fouls. They concede a field goal percentage of 46.0% (557 of 971) and allow 32.0 rebounds on average while ranking 9th in assists given up, totaling 922. The Fever allows 33.7% shooting from three-point territory and ranks 11th in points allowed per game at 90.4.
In their last game, the Las Vegas Aces secured a win against the Phoenix Mercury, with a final score of 100-82. The Aces registered 24 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds, totaling 33 for the match. They committed 13 turnovers but excelled on defense with 12 steals. The Mercury had 13 fouls, allowing Las Vegas 8 free-throw attempts, of which they converted 7 for a lucrative 87.5% rate. The Aces made 9 of 19 attempts from three-point range (47.4%) and shot 42 of 75 from the field for 56.0% overall. Defensively, they allowed Phoenix to hit 31 of 70 field goal attempts (44.3%) and 30.8% from beyond the arc, concluding with a free throw accuracy of 80.0% by scoring 12 of 15 attempts. Las Vegas permitted Phoenix 33 total rebounds (10 offensive).
A’ja Wilson proved to be instrumental for the Aces, posting 34 points with a shooting percentage of 57.1% (16 of 28) while also recording 10 rebounds and 4 assists in 35 minutes of action.
Las Vegas boasts a win-loss record of 31-13 this season. Offensively, the Aces are shooting 48.6% from the field, ranking 2nd in the WNBA. They have accumulated 4,025 points in total (91.5 per game) while averaging 33.4 boards per game, and distributing 22.0 assists per game, placing them 2nd in the league. They average 12.0 turnovers and 17.3 personal fouls per game, with a free-throw shooting success of 81.4%. On the defensive end, Las Vegas ranks 6th in points allowed per game at 85.8, surrendering 18.9 assists and 33.4 rebounds per game (2nd and 8th in league rankings, respectively). They concede 34.9% shooting from three-point range and their opponents hit 79.3% of free throw attempts. The Aces are adept at forcing 13.2 turnovers on average while letting their opponents shoot 44.4% from the field, ranking 5th in the WNBA.
Who will prevail in tonight’s WNBA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Las Vegas (-4.5)
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