- Game: New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Location: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
- Broadcast: Nationals.TV
- Betting Odds: New York (-128) Washington (+106)
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On Saturday, the Washington Nationals (75-84) will host the New York Mets (73-86) at Nationals Park. The odds favor New York at -128, while Washington is at +106. The game total is set at 8.5 runs, with pitchers Jonah Tong and Connelly Early taking the mound.
The New York Mets are currently averaging 4.3 runs per game, ranking them 21st in the league. They have scored a total of 682 runs with an on-base percentage of .309. The team has recorded 205 doubles and hit 197 home runs, driving in 652 runs with 1,280 hits this season. Their overall batting average stands at .238, with a slugging percentage of .393. The Mets have struck out 1,332 times this season while earning 516 walks.
The Mets’ strikeout-to-walk ratio is currently at 2.63, and the team’s pitching staff holds a cumulative WHIP of 1.29. The Mets pitchers have allowed 181 home runs and 717 total runs this season, placing them 18th in baseball. Overall, they have given up 1,284 hits (averaging 8.2 hits per 9 innings) and 651 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.14 (16th in MLB). The staff has struck out 1,427 batters and issued 543 walks, with a FIP of 4.06 for the season.
This season, the Mets have utilized 493 relief pitchers, with 201 inherited runners, 27.4% of whom have scored. The bullpen has secured 74 holds (25th in the league) and has faced high-leverage situations 158 times. Although they have racked up 31 saves, they have also blown 19 of their 50 save chances, resulting in a 62.0% save percentage.
The Mets have achieved 4,250 putouts, 1,227 assists, and committed 92 errors this season, with a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in the majors), completing 95 double plays. The team has converted 69.6% of balls in play into outs over their 12,750 innings of play, ranking 16th in MLB.
Jonah Tong has pitched 43 innings, accumulating 47 strikeouts. His ERA stands at 5.81 (having allowed 28 earned runs) along with a career WHIP of 1.544. He has given up 45 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and takes the mound with a 4-5 career record and a FIP of 5.72, facing 201 batters.
On the other side, the Washington Nationals own a team slugging percentage of .423 and average 5.08 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have achieved 277 doubles, recorded 807 runs, and struck 207 home runs while walking 546 times. This season, the Nationals have faced 1,327 strikeouts (14th in the league) and accumulated a total of 1,333 hits, holding an OBP of .321 and a batting average of .246.
Washington’s pitching staff has surrendered 798 runs, with an ERA of 4.65 (729 earned runs allowed). They have given up 211 home runs and allowed an average of 5.09 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The team has a cumulative WHIP of 1.389 and a FIP of 4.70, with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.00 (1,254 strikeouts vs. 593 walks), ranking 25th in total hits allowed with 1,366.
Currently, the Nationals rank 29th in save percentage at 48.8%, having sent 504 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Their relievers have participated in 170 high-leverage situations, achieving a total of 78 holds and 42 blown saves in 166 save opportunities. With 82 save situations utilized, the Nationals have logged 40 saves while 38.5% of their inherited runners have scored.
Defensively, the Nationals have turned 134 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .982 (29th in MLB). They have recorded 1,427 assists, made 104 errors, and captured 4,230 putouts this season. Through their 12,690 innings played, they hold a defensive efficiency rating of 69.5% (17th in pro baseball).
Connelly Early (8-7 career record) holds a 3.26 ERA, allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.21, and he has faced 469 opposing hitters throughout his career. Early has surrendered 40 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.233 and a FIP of 3.20, having allowed 98 hits while striking out 122 batters in 110 innings pitched.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Pick: Take Washington (+106) and under 8.5 runs
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