- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
- Broadcast: Sportsnet
- Betting Odds: Cincinnati (+132) Toronto (-160)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (77-82) are set to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (74-85) on Saturday at Rogers Centre. The current betting line for this matchup places Cincinnati at +132 and Toronto at -160, with the total runs set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Rhett Lowder and Trey Yesavage.
As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are averaging 4.1 runs per game, ranking them 26th in Major League Baseball. They have scored a total of 655 runs to date, boasting an on-base percentage of .305. The Reds have accumulated 215 doubles and hit 211 home runs this season. With 625 RBIs and 1,206 hits, their batting average stands at .228. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .395 and has struck out 1,514 times while drawing 549 walks.
The Reds have a K/BB ratio of 1.94 and their pitching staff owns a WHIP of 1.45. Reds pitchers have permitted 212 home runs and 814 runs total (28th in the league). Cincinnati has allowed 1,381 hits (8.8 per 9 innings), along with 759 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 4.85 (28th in MLB). The staff has registered 1,273 strikeouts while issuing 657 walks, and their FIP stands at 4.82 for the year.
The Cincinnati bullpen has a save percentage of 65.6%, having entered into 156 save chances. They achieved 42 saves this season but failed to convert 22 of their 64 opportunities. Reds relievers have inherited 241 runners, with 27.0% of them scoring. They have also faced 162 inherited runners in high-leverage situations, totaling 565 appearances by relief pitchers this year, accounting for 88 holds (12th in MLB).
This season, the Cincinnati Reds have recorded 4,225 putouts, 1,274 assists, and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984, placing 20th in the majors, along with 112 double plays. Cincinnati has converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs over 12,675 innings, ranking 19th in MLB.
Lowder has pitched 157 innings, registering 123 strikeouts in his MLB journey. With a career win-loss record of 8-14, he owns a FIP of 5.02 and has encountered 709 batters in the majors. His ERA is 5.09, surrendering 89 earned runs, and he has a WHIP of 1.507, allowing 169 hits (9.7 hits per 9 innings) and issuing 68 walks.
The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league with a scoring average of 4.00 runs per game, holding a SLG% of .382. They have compiled 636 runs, recorded 251 doubles, and have 150 home runs this season, along with 604 RBIs. The team has struck out 1,129 times (29th in MLB) and notched 1,327 base hits, holding a team OBP of .310 and a batting average of .248.
The Toronto pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.295 and a FIP of 4.00 this season. They rank 7th in MLB for total hits allowed with 1,239. Toronto’s pitching has surrendered 683 runs this season, with a team ERA of 3.92 (613 earned runs). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.80 (1,380 strikeouts to 586 walks), and they have allowed 165 home runs, averaging 4.36 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).
With a save percentage of 75.0%, Toronto has summoned 595 relief pitchers this season. Their bullpen has entered 190 times in high-leverage spots and 169 times with runners on base. Out of 177 save opportunities, the Blue Jays have secured 104 holds and suffered 17 blown saves, converting 51 of 68 save chances successful. The inherited runner score rate stands at 25.9% from their 247 inherited runners.
The Blue Jays have recorded 107 double plays, and their fielding percentage is .983 (26th in MLB). They have totalled 1,334 assists, 97 errors, and 4,227 putouts this season. In their 12,681 innings played, they have a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (12th in professional baseball).
Yesavage, with a win-loss record of 6-5, has an ERA of 3.63, allowing 6.2 hits per 9 innings. He possesses a K/BB ratio of 2.08 and has faced 455 batters in his MLB career. He has yielded 44 earned runs and has a WHIP of 1.172 accompanied by a FIP of 3.6. Through his professional career, Yesavage has given up 75 hits and has racked up 110 strikeouts over 109 innings pitched.
Who will come out on top in tonight’s MLB showdown against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Go with Cincinnati (+132)
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