- Matchup: Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs
- Event Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Venue: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
- Broadcast: ESPN+
- Betting Odds: Aztecs (+4.5)
- Total Points Over/Under: 58.5
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On Saturday, October 3, 2026, the Texas State Bobcats (2-2) will visit Snapdragon Stadium to challenge the San Diego State Aztecs (1-3). The Aztecs are currently 4.5-point underdogs, with the total set at 58.5.
The Texas State Bobcats come to this clash with a 2-2 record this season. Their most recent game resulted in an impressive victory over the Incarnate Word Cardinals, finishing at 63-10. They executed 69 plays, accumulating a total of 658 yards. The Bobcats dominated the ground game with 46 rushing attempts, amassing 338 yards at an average of 7.3 yards per carry. On defense, Texas State conceded 75 yards on 37 rush attempts, allowing just 2.0 yards per rush. In the passing department, the Bobcats gave up 29 completions on 53 attempts for 283 yards, resulting in a completion percentage of 54.7%.
This season, the Bobcats have tallied a total of 2,093 offensive yards. They have scored 11 touchdowns via the pass and 8 on the ground, but have committed 7 turnovers. Texas State has achieved 100 first downs and incurred 24 penalties totaling 241 yards. They currently average 281.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 6th in college football, and sit at a scoring average of 36.3 points per game.
Defensively, Texas State ranks 128th nationally, allowing 33.8 points per game. They permit 3.6 yards per carry and 121.0 rushing yards per game, yielding a total of 484 rushing yards over four games. In terms of passing statistics, the Bobcats have surrendered 1,393 yards, ranking 138th in the country, with an average of 348.3 passing yards allowed per game and a completion percentage of 67.7%. Overall, their defensive performance allows 469.3 yards per game, placing them 137th in Division 1. They have conceded 10 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns.
The San Diego State Aztecs come into this matchup with a 1-3 record this season. Their last outing ended in a disappointing 41-16 loss against the Toledo Rockets. In that game, the Aztecs struggled on the ground, averaging just 1.5 yards per carry, finishing with 48 rushing yards on 31 attempts. Overall, they managed 296 total yards on 68 plays (4.4 yards per play). The Aztecs secondary allowed a completion rate of 72.7%, giving up 284 yards on 16 of 22 passing attempts. They also conceded 210 rushing yards on 48 carries (4.4 yards per rush).
Currently, the San Diego State Aztecs average 320.0 yards per game, placing them 124th in college football. The Aztec offense has incurred 182 yards of penalties on 21 infractions, ranking them 105th in Division 1 in that category. They average 155.3 rushing yards per game and have gained a total of 621 rushing yards this season. They have thrown 5 interceptions and lost 3 fumbles, while garnering 73 first downs. In scoring, the Aztecs sit at 107th in Division 1, averaging 23.0 points per game. This season, they have accumulated 659 passing yards, averaging 164.8 yards per game, placing them 120th in Division 1.
On the defensive side, the Aztecs are giving up 28.8 points per game, which ranks 110th in Division 1. They have allowed a total of 690 rushing yards (172.5 yards per game) and surrendered 7 rushing touchdowns so far this season. Against the pass, they have given up 6 touchdowns and allowed 240.3 passing yards per game, placing them 111th in the nation. San Diego State’s defense has been on the field for 292 plays, ranking 128th nationally. They have recovered 2 fumbles and grabbed 3 interceptions this year, having allowed a total of 115 points throughout the season.
Who will emerge victorious in the upcoming Bobcats versus Aztecs college football game against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on the Bobcats -4.5
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