Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Outlook, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers Outlook, 10/3/2026 College Football Picks, Top Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers
  • Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
  • Venue: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
  • Broadcast: BTN
  • Point Spread: Badgers favored by (-10.5)
  • Total Points (Over/Under): 43.5

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The Michigan State Spartans (2-2) are set to visit Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026, to face off against the Wisconsin Badgers (3-1). Initially, the Spartans are listed as 10.5-point underdogs according to Las Vegas odds. The total points for this matchup are set at 43.5.

The Michigan State Spartans enter this contest with a 2-2 record for the season. In their previous outing, the Spartans were defeated by the Nebraska Cornhuskers, ending the game at 31-13. The Spartans attempted 32 rushes, accumulating just 39 yards, averaging 1.2 yards per carry. Overall, they executed 60 plays, gaining a total of 257 yards. Defensively, Michigan State allowed 15 completions on 27 attempts for 212 yards, achieving a completion rate of 55.6%. Against the run, the Spartans conceded 157 yards on 41 carries, averaging 3.8 yards per rush.

college football predictions Tyrell Henry Wisconsin Badgers odds analysis

In terms of scoring, the Michigan State Spartans are averaging 22.0 points per game this season. Their rushing game ranks 114th in Division 1, with an average of 122.8 yards on the ground. They have generated a total of 1,293 yards so far. In the touchdown category, the Spartans have recorded 3 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns. Offensively, they have secured 83 first downs and accrued 15 penalties resulting in 165 yards. They have also committed 6 turnovers this season.

The Badgers come into this matchup with a record of 3-1 so far this season. In their last game, they secured a narrow victory against the Penn State Nittany Lions, finishing the game at 24-20. Wisconsin allowed 36 rushing attempts for 119 yards (3.3 yards per rush). Their pass defense recorded a completion rate of 41.4%, yielding 114 yards on 12 completions from 29 attempts. The Badgers tallied 355 total offensive yards, completing 66 plays for an average of 5.4 yards per play, and rushed for 120 yards on 28 carries at 4.3 yards per attempt.

The Wisconsin Badgers average 381.0 yards per game, ranking them 81st in the nation. They have incurred 190 penalty yards from 25 infractions, placing them 79th in the country in this regard. Their rushing offense netted an average of 134.3 yards per game, resulting in a season total of 537 yards. The Badgers have thrown 5 interceptions and have allowed 1 fumble recovery, while achieving 73 first downs overall. In terms of scoring efficiency, the Badgers rank 66th in college football with an average of 31.8 points per game. So far this season, Wisconsin has accumulated 987 passing yards, averaging 246.8 yards per game, ranking them 56th nationally.

<pDefensively, the Badgers are allowing 20.0 points per game, placing them 46th in the country. They have given up a total of 446 rushing yards (111.5 yards per game) and 3 rushing touchdowns. Their pass defense has conceded 3 touchdowns and yields 163.8 yards per game, ranking them 22nd nationally. The Badgers’ defense has participated in 248 plays, ranking 55th in Division 1, and they have recovered 1 fumble while intercepting 3 passes this season. Overall, they have allowed 80 points throughout the season.Who will prevail in this exciting Spartans vs. Badgers college football matchup against the spread?

Prediction: Back the Badgers -10.5

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Pick: Wisconsin Badgers -10.5
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