- Matchup: Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics
- Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
- Venue: CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC
- Broadcast: ESPN
- Current Odds: Atlanta favored by 3.5 points
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In an electrifying Game 2 of their first-round series, the Washington Mystics (28-16) welcome the Atlanta Dream (30-14) to CareFirst Arena. Atlanta leads the series 1-0, opening this game as 3.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 164.5.
The previous matchup saw the Atlanta Dream overpower the Washington Mystics, finishing with a score of 92-77. Atlanta achieved a shooting accuracy of 40.8% (31 out of 76) and made 5 of 21 attempts from three-point range. At the charity stripe, the Dream excelled, converting 25 of 26 free throw attempts (96.2%). The team also collected 35 rebounds, including 12 offensive boards, and recorded 25 assists while forcing Washington into 18 turnovers and accumulating 12 steals. Defensively, Atlanta allowed the Mystics to shoot 41.2% from the floor (28 of 68). Washington managed 7 assists and 3 steals and amassed a total of 40 rebounds, with 7 being offensive. They made 15 out of 22 free throws (68.2%) and hit 6 of 19 from beyond the arc.
Rhyne Howard made a significant contribution in the last game, scoring 26 points on 7 of 18 shooting. She played for 39 minutes and grabbed 1 rebound, with a field goal percentage of 38.9% and 1 assist.
Heading into this contest, Atlanta holds an impressive record of 30-14 this season. The team averages 12.6 turnovers and commits 19.6 personal fouls per game. Collectively, Atlanta secures 35.6 rebounds and has facilitated 944 assists this year, ranking 6th in the league for assists. The Dream’s shooting statistics include a 32.5% success rate from three-point land (394 of 1,212) and an 78.6% conversion rate from the free-throw line. They score an average of 91.3 points per game, placing them 3rd in the WNBA, with an overall shooting percentage of 44.2%. On defense, the Dream force 15.4 turnovers and draw 21.2 fouls on average. They allow a field goal percentage of 46.9% (676 of 934) and average 31.0 rebounds. In terms of assists allowed, they rank 3rd in the WNBA, conceding 843 assists this year, and give up 34.8% from three-point range while allowing 84.5 points per game, rated 4th lowest in the league.
The last outing for the Washington Mystics ended in defeat, falling to the Atlanta Dream 92-77. They grabbed 35 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards, amounting to a total of 50 rebounds. The Mystics turned the ball over 22 times but managed only 2 steals in the game. The Dream’s fouls allowed the Mystics 22 free throw attempts, of which they converted 15 (68.2%). From the arc, Washington hit 6 of 19 attempts (31.6%), and overall, they shot 28 for 68 from the field, achieving a shooting percentage of 41.2%. Unfortunately, the Mystics allowed Atlanta to convert 31 of 76 field goal attempts, resulting in a 40.8% shooting percentage for Atlanta. Washington struggled from three-point range, finishing at 23.8% with just 5 successful shots out of 21 tries, but excelled at the free-throw line, hitting 25 out of 26 attempts (96.2%). In total, they allowed Atlanta to gather 31 rebounds.
Sonia Citron played a key role for the Mystics, shooting 8 of 15 (53.3%) and recording 25 points, along with 6 rebounds in her 35 minutes on the court.
Washington’s season record stands at 28-16. They have scored a cumulative 3,696 points this season, averaging 84.0 points per game, while pulling down 37.7 rebounds on average. The Mystics have committed 19.3 fouls per game and attain a free-throw success rate of 73.1%. Their shooting percentage from the field is 45.4%, ranking 7th overall. The team averages 19.7 assists per game (11th in the league) but turns the ball over 14.7 times per contest. Defensively, the Mystics rank 2nd in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 82.7 and force 12.1 turnovers. Opponents shoot 43.1% from the field against them (also 2nd in the league). The Mystics allow a three-point shooting percentage of 32.8% (369 of 1,125) and opponents convert 78.1% of their free throws. They permit 19.9 assists and 30.1 rebounds per game, ranking 4th and 1st respectively in these categories.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA game against the spread?
Expert Pick: Bet on Atlanta (-3.5)
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