- Matchup: Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Venue: Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO
- Broadcast: ABC
- Betting Odds: Tigers (+4.5)
- Total Points/Over-Under: 56.5
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The Florida Gators (4-0) are set to visit Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 3, 2026, to face off against the Missouri Tigers (3-1). The Tigers enter the contest as 4.5-point underdogs according to Vegas odds, with the over/under established at 56.5 points.
Florida comes into this encounter with an unbeaten 4-0 record this season. In their previous game, they triumphed over the Ole Miss Rebels, winning decisively with a score of 52-28. The Gators ran 76 plays, accumulating 498 yards of offense. Their ground game was potent, with 53 carries for 302 yards, averaging 5.7 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed Missouri to gain 128 yards on 27 rushes, equating to an average of 4.7 yards per carry. In the air, the Gators conceded 25 completions on 34 attempts for 298 yards, achieving a completion rate of 73.5%.
In terms of scoring, the Florida Gators have an explosive offense, averaging 53.5 points per game. They hold a strong ground game, amassing an average of 260 yards per game, ranking them 11th nationally. Overall, Florida has pushed for 2,131 total yards this season, including 8 passing touchdowns and an impressive 18 rushing touchdowns. The Gators have achieved 105 first downs but have been plagued by 35 penalties totaling 357 yards. They face 4 turnovers thus far.
Defensively, the Gators rank 69th in Division 1, allowing an average of 22.8 points per game. They permit opponents to rush for an average of 3.4 yards per attempt, yielding 103 rushing yards per game, totaling 412 yards allowed in 4 games. In the passing game, Florida has surrendered 993 yards, placing them at 112th nationally, allowing 248.3 yards per game with a 62.5% completion percentage. Overall, they have allowed 351.3 yards per game, ranking them 72nd in the nation, with 5 touchdowns allowed through the air and 6 on the ground.
The Missouri Tigers enter this matchup with a 3-1 record. In their last outing, they faced defeat, falling 31-24 to the Mississippi State Bulldogs. The Tigers recorded 414 yards, averaging 5.5 yards per play over 75 plays. Their rushing game averaged 3.4 yards per carry, finishing with 119 yards on 35 attempts. Defensively, Missouri allowed 40 rushing attempts for 139 yards (3.5 yards per carry) and 71.1% completion on 27 of 38 pass attempts, which contributed to 360 yards lost.
The Missouri Tigers’ offense averages 418.8 yards per game, putting them at 60th nationally. They have committed 32 penalties for a total of 292 yards, ranking 27th in Division 1 for free yards given up. Missouri runs for an average of 155.8 yards per game, totaling 623 rushing yards this season. They have yet to throw an interception but have lost 2 fumbles, while achieving 90 first downs offensively. In scoring, the Tigers rank 43rd nationally with an average of 35.8 points per game, accumulating 1,052 passing yards and averaging 263 yards through the air, ranking 42nd in D-1.
Defensively, the Tigers allow an average of 20.8 points per game, ranking them 52nd in Division 1. They have given up a total of 401 rushing yards (100.3 yards per game) and 2 rushing touchdowns. In the passing game, Missouri has allowed 8 touchdowns and 218.3 yards per game, placing them 81st in college football. Their defense has been active on 270 plays, ranking 93rd in D-1, with a total of 2 fumbles recovered and 4 interceptions over the season. So far, they have conceded 83 points.
Who will cover the spread in the Gators vs. Tigers college football game?
Expert’s Prediction: Take the Tigers +4.5
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