- Matchup: Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces
- Scheduled Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: USA Network
- Betting Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+4.5)
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The highly anticipated clash sees the Las Vegas Aces (31-13) hosting the Indiana Fever (28-16) at the Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday for Game 3 of their first-round playoff series, currently tied at 1-1. The Aces are favored by 4.5 points, with the over/under total set at 181.5.
In Game 2, the Fever triumphed with a score of 99-89. Indiana showcased an impressive 52.1% shooting performance (37 of 71) and made 8 out of 21 from three-point range. They were successful on 17 of their 24 free throw attempts, achieving a 70.8% conversion rate. Rebounding was a strong point for Indiana, as they secured 24 boards—8 of which were offensive. The team also recorded 20 assists, forced 16 turnovers from Las Vegas, and managed 8 steals. Defensively, Indiana limited the Aces to a 42.4% field goal shooting (25 of 59). Las Vegas contributed 5 assists and made 8 steals but secured 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive) and recorded 6 blocks. The Aces shot an impressive 88.2% from the free throw line, converting 30 of 34 attempts, and made 9 out of 28 attempts from beyond the arc.
Caitlin Clark was instrumental in Indiana’s victory, scoring 27 points on an impressive 50% shooting (9 of 18) in her 33 minutes on the court while also grabbing 7 rebounds and dishing out 15 assists.
As they head into this matchup, the Fever hold a season record of 28-16. They average 13.3 turnovers and 21.3 fouls per game. On average, Indiana collects 33.4 rebounds and has dished out 910 assists this season, ranking them 8th in basketball for assists. The Fever excel in three-point shooting, hitting 38.6% of their attempts (452 of 1,170), and are converting 80.7% at the free throw line. With an average of 96.0 points per game, they lead the league in scoring, boasting a field goal percentage of 48.7%. Defensively, Indiana forces 12.7 turnovers per game while allowing 22.1 fouls. They limit opponents to 33.7% shooting from three-point land and rank 11th in points allowed per game (90.4). Indiana has conceded a 46.0% opponent shooting percentage (557 of 971), and they permit 32.0 rebounds per game, ranking 9th in the league for assists allowed (922).
In Game 2, the Aces secured 23 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 30. They committed 11 turnovers while recording 9 steals. The Fever’s fouls led to 34 free throw attempts for the Aces, who capitalized with 30 successful shots for an 88.2% free throw success rate. From three-point range, Las Vegas made 9 of 28 attempts (32.1%), finishing the game with a field goal percentage of 42.4% by shooting 25 for 59. The Aces also allowed Indiana to shoot 52.1% in the matchup, permitting 37 of 71 shots. Las Vegas ended the evening shooting 38.1% from long range (8 of 21) and was 17 of 24 from the free throw line (70.8%). They faced challenges on the boards, allowing Indiana to grab a total of 34 rebounds, including 11 on the offensive end.
Jackie Young emerged as a key player for the Aces, scoring 31 points while connecting on 7 of 19 shots for a field goal percentage of 36.8%. She also contributed 4 rebounds and 5 assists in her 36 minutes of action.
Las Vegas has posted a record of 31-13 this season. They have amassed 4,025 total points, averaging 91.5 points per game, while collecting 33.4 rebounds. On defense, the Aces commit 17.3 fouls per game and convert 81.4% from the free throw line. Offensively, they lead the league with a 48.6% success rate from the floor. The Aces are also second in assists, averaging 22.0 per game, while limiting their turnovers to 12.0 per game. Defensively, they rank 6th in points allowed per game at 85.8, yielding 18.9 assists and 33.4 rebounds (ranking 2nd and 8th respectively in the WNBA). The Aces allow opponents to shoot 34.9% from three-point range (386 of 1,107) and 79.3% from the free throw line. They are adept at forcing 13.2 turnovers per game and limit opponents to a field goal percentage of 44.4% (5th in the WNBA).
Who will take home the win in tonight’s pivotal WNBA matchup against the spread?
Expert Pick: Take Indiana (+4.5)
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