Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Analysis, 10/2/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips, and Odds

Home » Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Analysis, 10/2/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries
  • Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
  • Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
  • Broadcast: ESPN2
  • Betting Odds: Dallas (+8.5)

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The Dallas Wings (27-17) will compete at Chase Center on Friday, squaring off against the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) in Game 3 of their first-round series, which is currently tied at 1-1. Dallas enters this matchup as 8.5-point underdogs, with the over/under set at 158.5.

In Game 2, the Dallas Wings secured their spot in the series with a 108-100 victory, showcasing stellar performance. They achieved a field goal percentage of 50.0% (32 of 64) and excelled with 12 out of 23 three-pointers. At the free-throw line, the Wings converted 32 of 37 attempts, netting an impressive 86.5%. On the boards, they claimed 29 rebounds, including 7 offensive rebounds, along with dishing out 20 assists and forcing 10 turnovers, while adding 6 steals on the defensive end. Golden State shot 46.6% from the field (34 of 73) during this contest and registered 6 assists and 8 steals, grappling for 29 rebounds (6 offensive, 23 defensive) and blocking 2 shots. Golden State was efficient at the free-throw line, making 20 out of 23 attempts for a conversion rate of 87.0% and hitting 12 of 27 from beyond the arc.

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One standout player was Arike Ogunbowale, who scored an impressive 45 points on 12 of 23 shooting in 42 minutes on the court, also grabbing 7 rebounds and recording 4 assists.

The Wings approach this game with a solid season record of 27-17. They average 11.0 turnovers per game and commit about 18.3 fouls. On the boards, they are averaging 34.6 rebounds and leading the league with a total of 979 assists this season. From beyond the arc, Dallas hits 34.6% of their shots (363 of 1,048) and holds a free-throw success rate of 78.7%. They average 89.4 points per game, ranking 6th in the league, while achieving a shooting percentage of 46.8%. Defensively, the Wings force opponents into 12.0 turnovers per game and draw 18.4 fouls. They currently rank 5th in assists allowed, having relinquished 877 assists so far. The Wings’ defense gives up a shooting percentage of 44.8% (526 of 808) and allows 33.3 rebounds per game, with a rate of 33.1% from beyond the arc, placing them 5th in the league in points allowed per game (85.3).

During Game 2, the Valkyries managed to collect 27 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards, totalizing 33 rebounds in the match. They turned the ball over 4 times while earning 5 steals. The Wings committed 15 fouls, which granted the Valkyries 23 free throw opportunities, converting 20 for a rate of 87.0%. In their three-point shooting, Golden State connected on 12 of 27 attempts (44.4%). Overall, the Valkyries concluded the match shooting 34 out of 73 from the floor, achieving a field goal percentage of 46.6%. They allowed the Wings to hit 32 of 64 shots, marking a 50.0% success rate. Golden State posted a 52.2% accuracy from deep with 12 out of 23 and went 32 out of 37 from the charity stripe (86.5%). In terms of rebounding, they permitted Dallas to gather a total of 30, with 5 offensive boards.

Gabby Williams was another key player for the Valkyries, scoring 36 points after making 12 out of 23 attempts, while securing 6 rebounds and distributing 7 assists in 37 minutes of play.

So far this season, the Valkyries hold a record of 32-12. Offensively, they hit 42.2% from the field, placing them 15th in the league. Golden State has tallied 3,615 points this season (82.2 points per game) and averages 33.3 rebounds per contest, generating assists 19.3 times per game (13th in the league) while committing an average of 10.4 turnovers. They commit 19.2 fouls per game and boast a free throw percentage of 77.4%. On defense, the Valkyries rank first in the WNBA for points allowed per game, giving up 75.1, and they yield 18.2 assists and 32.7 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking first and fifth in the league respectively. Golden State’s defense allows 32.6% from three-point territory (353 of 1,082) and opponents convert 75.9% of free throw attempts. They force 13.7 turnovers per game while allowing teams to shoot 41.4% from the field, ranking first in the league.

Who will cover the spread in tonight’s WNBA matchup?

Prediction: Take Dallas (+8.5)

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Pick: Dallas Wings (+8.5)
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