- Matchup: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
- Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Atlanta (+177), Los Angeles (-217)
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The Atlanta Braves, with a record of 94-68, are set to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers, who boast a record of 100-62, in Game 1 of the NLDS at Dodger Stadium. The Braves are underdogs at +177, while the Dodgers stand at -217, with a betting total established at 8 runs. The Braves plan to start with an opener, whereas the Dodgers will feature Tarik Skubal on the mound.

This season, the Braves have recorded 251 doubles and 204 home runs, showcasing a slugging percentage of .409. They have struck out 1,310 times while drawing 465 walks. As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.6 runs per game, ranking 9th overall in MLB, with a total of 711 RBIs and 1,348 hits, resulting in a team batting average of .246. Their on-base percentage stands at .309.
The Braves have achieved a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and their pitching staff has an overall WHIP of 1.24. They have conceded 185 home runs and 626 total runs (5th in MLB) while allowing 1,259 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 580 earned runs. Their season ERA is 3.63 (5th in MLB) and they have struck out 1,350 batters. The pitching staff has issued 529 walks this season, with a FIP of 4.13.
Atlanta’s relief pitchers have entered in high-pressure situations 175 times this season, achieving 106 holds (4th in MLB). Their save rate stands at 71.0%, having faced 180 save opportunities with 49 successful saves, despite blowing 20 chances. The relievers have inherited 172 base runners, allowing 20.9% of them to score. Overall, 499 relief pitchers have been utilized this year.
Defensively, the Braves have converted 71.5% of balls in play into outs over 12,942 innings, ranking 5th in baseball. They have amassed 4,314 putouts, 1,348 assists, and committed 65 errors with a fielding percentage of .989, also 5th in MLB, while completing 131 double plays.
The Dodgers have hit 204 home runs and accumulated 756 RBIs this season, along with 266 doubles and 801 runs scored, enjoying a .338 OBP and a .257 batting average. They have a slugging percentage of .424, averaging 4.94 runs per game (4th in MLB), while striking out 1,267 times (27th in the league) and totaling 1,399 hits.
Defensively, the Dodgers have allowed 600 runs this season, resulting in a team ERA of 3.55 (566 earned runs). They have offered up 172 home runs and surrender an average of 3.76 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). Holding a team WHIP of 1.142, their FIP is 3.68, with a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (1,521 strikeouts versus 480 walks). They are the top team in MLB for total hits allowed, with 1,159.
Los Angeles’s relievers have inherited 35.8% of 179 base runners without allowing them to score. They have entered high-leverage situations 174 times and have faced runners on base 112 times, accruing 102 holds and 23 blown saves across 172 save opportunities. Their save rate is 66.7%, placing them 13th in MLB, having dispatched 538 bullpen pitchers this year.
The Dodgers have executed 89 double plays and maintain an impressive fielding percentage of .989 (4th in MLB). They have achieved 1,286 assists, 64 errors, and recorded 4,307 putouts. Their defensive efficiency over 12,921 innings played is 72.0%, ranking 2nd in pro baseball.
In his professional career, Skubal has allowed 666 hits while recording 959 strikeouts over 828 innings pitched. He has given up 280 earned runs, resulting in a WHIP of 1.028 and a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 5.18, and during his career, he has faced 3,302 batters, compiling a career record of 59-39 with a 3.04 ERA, allowing 7.2 hits per 9 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB face-off against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Take Los Angeles (-217)
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