Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Insights, 10/11/2026 NFL Picks, Top Bets & Odds Week 5

Home » Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Insights, 10/11/2026 NFL Picks, Top Bets & Odds Week 5

  • Matchup: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers
  • Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
  • Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
  • Broadcast: FOX
  • Betting Odds: Bears -2.5
  • Total Points Over/Under: 45.5

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The Chicago Bears, boasting a 3-1 record, will be visiting Lambeau Field this Sunday to take on the Green Bay Packers (2-2). The Bears are favored by 2.5 points according to Las Vegas odds, with the total score set at 45.5.

In their previous match, the Chicago Bears triumphed over the New York Jets with a score of 23-12. Quarterback Tyson Bagent threw for 268 yards with a completion rate of 25 out of 34 attempts and a QB rating of 83.9, though he did throw one interception. Kyle Monangai stood out in the ground game, rushing 30 times for a total of 146 yards, averaging nearly 4.9 yards per carry. Rome Odunze led the receiving corps, making 6 catches for 94 yards, averaging 15.7 yards per reception. Chicago’s offense ran the ball 54 times, accumulating 232 rushing yards for an average of 4.3 yards per carry. They executed 88 plays, totaling 492 offensive yards. Defensively, the Bears allowed 8 pass completions out of 15 attempts for 98 yards, and a rush defense that yielded 59 yards on 14 attempts, averaging 4.2 yards per carry.

NFL Predictions and Odds

The Bears have accumulated 1,716 total yards so far this season, achieving 48 first downs. They have committed 29 penalties totaling 189 yards. In terms of touchdowns, the Bears have secured 4 through the air and 9 on the ground. However, they have also turned the ball over 5 times (2 interceptions and 3 fumbles lost). Offensively, their rushing game ranks first in the league with an average of 196.3 rushing yards per game, and they are scoring an impressive 28.0 points on average per game.

From a defensive standpoint, the Bears are currently 4th in the league, allowing just 16.3 points per game. They give up 4.9 yards per rush and an average of 102.5 rushing yards per game. In terms of passing yards, they’ve permitted a total of 719 yards, ranking 3rd among NFL teams, with an average of 179.8 passing yards allowed per game and a completion rate of 58.6%. Overall, they are allowing an average of 282.3 yards per game, placing them 3rd in the league. To date, they have conceded 4 touchdown passes and 3 via rushing, totaling 410 rushing yards allowed across their four games this season.

The Green Bay Packers enter this contest with a 2-2 record for the season. In their most recent outing, they secured a narrow victory against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, winning 17-14. Quarterback Jordan Love threw for 197 yards with 2 touchdowns on 22 of 30 attempts, ending with a QB rating of 98.9 but did throw one interception. Kaleb Johnson had a solid day on the ground, running 8 times for 42 yards, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Christian Watson was a key receiving target, catching 3 passes for 47 yards (15.7 yards per reception). The Packers managed a total of 86 rushing yards from 25 carries, averaging just 3.4 yards per attempt. Overall, they concluded with 283 offensive yards and executed 55 plays, averaging 5.1 yards per play. On defense, they allowed a completion rate of 70.4%, yielding 134 yards from 19 out of 27 passing attempts. Green Bay’s run defense faced 31 carries, giving up 141 yards (4.5 yards per rush).

This season, the Green Bay Packers average 307.3 total yards per game, ranking 20th in the NFL. They accumulate an average of 58.0 rushing yards per outing and have recorded 232 rushing yards overall. The team has thrown 3 interceptions and lost 3 fumbles, while achieving 48 first downs. The Packers’ offense has been penalized 42 times, resulting in 344 yards, ranking them 2nd in the league for penalties aiding the opponent. On passing plays, the Packers have gained 997 yards collectively, averaging 249.3 yards per game, positioning them 11th overall. In terms of points, the Packers rank 28th in the league, averaging 18.3 PPG.

Defensively, they have allowed 6 touchdowns through the air and an average of 185.0 passing yards per game, putting them in 4th place in the league. They have conceded a total of 557 rushing yards, yielding an average of 139.3 yards per game, and 7 rushing touchdowns this season. The defense has also produced 4 turnovers, allowing a grand total of 105 points so far. They have participated in 260 defensive plays, ranking 27th in the league. The Packers give up 26.3 points per game, placing them 23rd in the NFL.

Who will take the win in this Bears vs. Packers NFL showdown?

Expert’s Pick: Bet on the Bears -2.5

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Pick: Chicago Bears -2.5
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