- Matchup: Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons
- Scheduled Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- Broadcast: NBC
- Betting Odds: Falcons -3.5
- Over/Under Total: 43.5
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This Sunday, the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) will host the Baltimore Ravens (3-1) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Currently, the Ravens are 3.5-point underdogs according to bookmakers. The total points for the game have been set at 43.5.
Entering this matchup, the Baltimore Ravens carry a 3-1 record for the season. In their last appearance, the Ravens triumphed over the Tennessee Titans with a score of 24-18. Quarterback Lamar Jackson completed 15 of 20 passes for 222 yards and 2 touchdowns, achieving a remarkable quarterback rating of 144.2 without any interceptions. Running back Derrick Henry led the ground game with 23 carries for 73 yards (3.2 yards per carry). Wide receiver Zay Flowers averaged an impressive 14.8 yards per reception, finishing with 118 yards on 8 catches. The Ravens executed 30 rushing attempts for a total of 112 yards, averaging 3.7 yards per carry, accumulating 384 total yards over 59 plays. Defensively, they allowed 20 completions from 31 attempts, yielding 212 passing yards with a completion percentage of 64.5%. They permitted 85 rushing yards on 26 carries, calculating to 3.3 yards per attempt.
Throughout the season, the Ravens have amassed a total of 1,580 yards. Offensively, Baltimore has achieved 45 first downs and has committed 39 penalties resulting in 329 yards. In terms of offensive touchdowns, they have scored 6 through the air and 8 on the ground. They recorded 2 turnovers, including 1 interception and 1 fumble, while averaging 153.5 rushing yards—ranking them 4th in the NFL. On the scoring front, Baltimore is putting up an average of 29.0 points per game.
Defensively, the Ravens rank 19th in the league, allowing 24.0 points per contest. They are conceding an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 100.0 rushing yards per game. In the passing game, the Ravens have allowed 861 yards, placing them 16th in the league. They give up an average of 215.3 passing yards per game, with a completion rate of 66.9%. Overall, they are surrendering 315.3 total yards per game, positioning them 10th in the NFL. This season, they have allowed 4 touchdowns in the air and 6 on the ground, totaling 400 rushing yards across 4 contests.
The Falcons enter this showdown with a 2-2 record for the season. In their latest game, Atlanta secured a decisive win against the New Orleans Saints, finishing 45-24. Running back Bijan Robinson rushed 19 times for 145 yards, averaging an outstanding 7.6 yards per carry. Receiver Drake London led the Falcons with 5 receptions for 96 yards (19.2 yards per catch). Quarterback Michael Penix threw for 223 yards on 15 of 20 passing, with 1 touchdown and a quarterback rating of 127.7, without any interceptions. Defensively, Atlanta permitted 19 rushing attempts for just 50 yards (2.6 yards per carry) while their pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 62.5%, yielding 270 yards on 30 completions out of 48 attempts. The Falcons’ offense generated 420 total yards across 55 plays, averaging 7.6 yards per play, with a robust 5.9 yards per carry from 35 rushing attempts totaling 205 yards.
In terms of scoring, the Falcons rank 15th in the league with an average of 24.0 points per game. This year, they have passed for a total of 718 yards, with an average of 179.5 passing yards per contest, ranking them 25th in the league. On the ground, Atlanta averages 181.0 rushing yards per game with a season total of 724 yards. Their offense ranks 10th overall, averaging 360.5 yards per game. They’ve committed 29 penalties, granting 288 yards to the opponents, placing them 18th in the league in this category. They have 6 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost, while the offense has managed to achieve 31 first downs.
On the defensive end, Atlanta has allowed 7 passing touchdowns and an average of 264.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 30th in the league. They have conceded a total of 193 rushing yards, averaging 48.3 yards per game, along with 2 rushing touchdowns this season. The Falcons have created 3 turnovers, including 2 forced fumbles and 1 interception. Overall, they have allowed 92 points and participated in 256 plays from scrimmage, which ranks them 24th in the league. Atlanta’s defense allows 23.0 points on average per game, ranking 15th overall.
Who will come out on top in this Ravens-Falcons matchup against the spread?
My Prediction: Take the Falcons -3.5
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