- Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: Raiders +4.0
- Total Points: 44.5
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This Sunday, the New England Patriots (2-2) will meet the Las Vegas Raiders (3-1) at Gillette Stadium, where the home team opens the match as 4-point favorites according to bookmakers. The total points projected for this game is 44.5.
The Las Vegas Raiders come into this game riding a 3-1 record this season. In their previous encounter, the Raiders faced the Kansas City Chiefs, resulting in a close loss with a score of 30-27. Quarterback Kirk Cousins completed 31 of 52 passes for 365 yards and 2 touchdowns, but also threw 1 interception, resulting in a QB rating of 85.8. Ashton Jeanty led the rushing attack with 15 carries for 58 yards, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt. Brock Bowers had a strong performance with 6 receptions for 86 yards, averaging 14.3 yards per catch. The Raiders ran the ball 26 times for a total of 72 yards, which is an average of 2.8 yards per attempt. Overall, they executed 78 plays, accumulating 437 total yards. Defensively, they allowed 15 completions on 30 attempts for 210 passing yards, achieving a completion rate of 50%. On the ground, the Raiders conceded 189 yards on 26 carries, averaging 7.3 yards per rush.
Focusing on their scoring capability, the Raiders average 28.8 points per game, ranking them 24th in rushing yards with 93.0 per game. Over the season, Las Vegas has totaled 1,372 yards, achieved 56 first downs, and incurred 23 penalties totaling 120 yards. They have turned the ball over 6 times, with 4 interceptions and 2 fumbles lost. In terms of touchdowns, Las Vegas has tallied 11 passing touchdowns and 1 rushing touchdown.
Defensively, the Raiders rank 11th overall, allowing 21.0 points per game. They give up an average of 5.2 yards per rush, resulting in 134.5 rushing yards per game this season. In the air, the Raiders have allowed 811 passing yards, ranking 8th in the league, while permitting 202.8 yards per game through the air with a completion percentage of 58.7%. In total, they have conceded 337.3 yards per game, placing them 19th overall. They have given up 7 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns this season, accounting for a total of 538 rushing yards against them throughout the four matchups this year.
The Patriots enter this matchup with a 2-2 record this season. Their last appearance resulted in a victory against the Buffalo Bills, ending with a score of 29-26. Quarterback Drake Maye carried the ball 8 times for 54 yards, averaging an impressive 6.8 yards per run for New England. Hunter Henry stood out as the leading receiver, catching 5 passes for 62 yards (averaging 12.4 yards per reception). Maye threw for 269 yards, completing 22 of 37 throws with 3 touchdowns and securing a QB rating of 97.7, though he did throw one interception. The Patriots’ rushing defense allowed 20 attempts for 91 yards, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. In the passing game, New England’s defense faced a completion rate of 69.7%, yielding 249 yards from 23 completions on 33 attempts. Overall, the Patriots amassed 405 yards from 72 plays, averaging 5.6 yards per play, and ran for 143 yards on 35 attempts, averaging 4.1 yards per carry.
Assessing their scoring performance, the Patriots currently rank 30th in the league with an average of 16.3 points per game. On the season, they have accumulated 855 passing yards, averaging 213.8 passing yards per game, which places them 17th in the NFL. The Patriots have a rushing average of 117.8 yards per game, totaling 471 yards thus far. Their overall yardage stands at 331.5 yards per game, ranking them 16th overall. New England has committed 28 penalties, resulting in 184 total yards, affecting their performance and ranking them 23rd in the league concerning penalties. They have thrown 7 interceptions and lost 3 fumbles, while achieving 38 first downs on offense.
The Patriots are allowing 19.3 points per game, placing them 6th in the league defensively. They have conceded 5 touchdown passes and an average of 189.8 passing yards, ranking them 5th overall. In terms of rushing defense, New England has allowed 416 yards (104.0 yards per game), along with 4 rushing touchdowns this season. The Patriots’ defense has been on the field for 229 plays, ranking them 4th in overall defensive performance. They have forced 5 turnovers, consisting of 2 fumbles and 3 interceptions, allowing a total of 77 points against them throughout the season.
Who will emerge victorious in this exciting Raiders-Patriots matchup against the spread?
Pick: Back the Raiders +4.0
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