- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
- Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
- Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: TBS
- Betting Odds: Tampa Bay (+134) New York (-162)
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On Wednesday, the New York Yankees (93-68) will face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) in Game 3 of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium. The Rays currently hold a 2-0 series lead. The betting line for this matchup places the Rays at +134 and the Yankees at -162, with the total set at 7 runs. Starting pitchers for the game are Nick Martinez and Max Fried.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a slugging percentage of .402 and have struck out 1,145 times, while accumulating 514 walks this season. They have recorded 700 RBIs alongside 1,405 hits, hitting an average of .258. The team has 230 doubles and smashed 169 home runs. With a total of 736 runs scored, their on-base percentage stands at .326. As a team, the Rays average 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 12th in MLB.
The Rays’ pitching staff has a K/BB ratio of 3.23 and a collective WHIP of 1.14. They have surrendered 201 home runs and a total of 650 runs (ranking 6th in MLB). Tampa Bay has allowed 1,235 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) and a total of 594 earned runs, resulting in a team ERA of 3.70 (7th in the league). They have fanned 1,322 batters while issuing 409 walks, with a FIP of 4.04 this season.
This year, the Rays have called upon 522 relievers, giving up runs to 32.3% of the 192 inherited runners. Their relievers have achieved 115 holds this season (2nd in baseball) and have faced 134 situations with inherited runners, appearing in high leverage scenarios 163 times. They have recorded 58 saves but missed 20 of their 78 save opportunities, resulting in a 74.4% save percentage across 194 save situations.
The Rays have converted 72.3% of balls in play into outs over 12,987 innings, ranking them first in pro baseball. They have totaled 4,329 putouts, in addition to 1,279 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage stands at .984, placing them 21st in pro baseball, with 100 double plays turned.
Nick Martinez has pitched for 1,120 innings in his career, accumulating 779 strikeouts. With a lifetime record of 63-65, he has faced 4,709 batters. His earned run average sits at 3.99 (496 earned runs allowed), with a WHIP of 1.269, and he has surrendered 1,106 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) along with 315 walks.
The New York Yankees showcase a team slugging percentage of .409, averaging 4.59 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have logged 224 doubles and drawn 572 walks, scoring 739 runs. In addition, they have hit 223 home runs this season, totaling 706 RBIs. The team has struck out 1,480 times (6th in MLB) and amassed 1,250 hits, with a .311 on-base percentage and a batting average of .235.
The Yankees’ pitching staff has allowed 601 runs this season, maintaining a collective ERA of 3.24 (519 earned runs). They have allowed 165 home runs, contributing to an average of 3.75 runs per nine innings (1st in baseball). With a team WHIP of 1.174 and a FIP of 3.71, their K/BB ratio currently stands at 9.10 (1,450 strikeouts to 488 walks). The Yankees rank 3rd in MLB for total hits given up, with 1,204 hits surrendered.
New York’s relief pitchers have inherited 271 runners, allowing runs to just 22.1% of them. They have entered 175 high leverage situations and 190 instances with runners on base, accumulating 86 holds and experiencing 28 blown saves across 162 save opportunities. Their save percentage is at 61.6%, ranking 17th in baseball, with a total of 532 relievers used this season.
Over 12,972 innings, the Yankees have achieved a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in pro baseball). They have completed 123 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (22nd in MLB), recording 1,395 assists, 96 errors, and 4,324 putouts this season.
Max Fried has allowed 1,026 hits during his career while amassing 1,156 strikeouts in 1,191 innings pitched. With a career record of 97-46, Fried holds a 3.01 ERA, allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings, and has given up 399 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.138 and a FIP of 3.0. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.50, having faced 4,849 batters throughout his career.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB clash against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on New York (-162)
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