- Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Saints +1.5
- Total Points Over/Under: 41.5
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The New Orleans Saints (1-3) are set to face off against the undefeated Minnesota Vikings (4-0) at Caesars Superdome this Sunday. Minnesota is opening as 1.5-point favorites, with the point total set at 41.5.
The Vikings come into this matchup riding high at 4-0. In their last game, they claimed victory against the Miami Dolphins, winning 15-10. Quarterback Kyler Murray completed 27 of 37 passes, totaling 247 yards with a commendable QB rating of 90.7, and he did not throw any interceptions. On the ground, Aaron Jones led the way with 20 carries for 94 yards (averaging 4.7 yards per attempt). T.J. Hockenson contributed significantly with 13 catches for 119 yards, averaging 9.2 yards per reception. The Vikings attempted 31 rushes, accumulating 123 yards at an average of 4.0 yards per carry. At the end of the game, they executed 68 plays for a total of 336 yards. Defensively, Minnesota allowed 9 completions on 17 attempts for 77 yards, yielding a completion rate of 52.9%. In the rushing department, they conceded 121 yards on 18 carries, averaging 6.7 yards per run allowed.
This season, the Vikings have amassed a total of 1,051 yards. They have secured 32 first downs and faced 26 penalties totaling 220 yards. Scoring-wise, they have produced 4 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns, while turning the ball over twice. On average, they are reaching 106.8 rushing yards per game, placing them 16th in the league. In terms of points scored, the NFC North team averages 21.5 points per game.
Defensively, the Vikings have allowed 779 passing yards, ranking them 7th in the league. They concede 194.8 yards per game through the air while maintaining a completion rate of 51.1%. Overall, they have allowed 378 rushing yards over four games this season. They’ve given up 3 passing touchdowns and 1 rushing touchdown, averaging 289.3 total yards allowed per game, good for 5th in the NFL. They limit opposing teams to 4.2 yards per rush and 94.5 rushing yards per game, currently ranking 1st in the league for fewest points allowed at just 12.8 per game.
The Saints enter this matchup with a record of 1-3. In their most recent outing, they suffered a defeat against the Atlanta Falcons, finishing 45-24. Quarterback Tyler Shough (1 TD) threw for 286 yards completing 30 of 48 passes, culminating in a QB rating of 85.9 without any interceptions, boasting an average of 6.0 yards per attempt. Chris Olave emerged as a key target, catching 8 passes for 116 yards (14.5 yards per reception). In the running game, Alvin Kamara had 7 carries for 23 yards, averaging 3.3 yards per attempt. The Saints ended the game with a total of 320 yards on 67 plays (4.8 yards per play). Running the ball, they averaged just 2.6 yards per attempt, with 50 yards on 19 carries. New Orleans’ defense faced tough challenges, allowing 35 rushing attempts for 205 yards (5.9 yards per rush). Their pass defense also struggled, giving up a completion rate of 75.0%, surrendering 215 yards on 15 of 20 passes.
The New Orleans Saints average 367.0 total yards per game, ranking 9th in the league. They average 88.5 rushing yards per contest, totaling 354 rushing yards this season. They have recorded 3 interceptions but have also lost 5 fumbles, achieving 61 first downs as the offense. Additionally, they have been penalized for 173 yards across 27 penalties, placing them 25th in free yards allowed. With a passing total of 1,114 yards, they average 278.5 passing yards per game, ranking 4th in the league. In terms of scoring, they are currently 11th in the NFL, averaging 26.3 points per game.
Defensively, the Saints have struggled, allowing 32.0 points per game, placing them at the bottom of the league (32nd). They have conceded 7 passing touchdowns and allow 212.5 passing yards per game, ranking 15th overall. The rushing defense has been equally challenged, yielding 591 rushing yards (147.8 yards per game), alongside giving up 9 rushing touchdowns. Overall, their defense has been involved in 248 plays from scrimmage, ranking 17th in the league and has managed 3 turnovers (2 forced fumbles and 1 interception) thus far. Overall, they have given up a total of 128 points this season.
Which team will come out victorious in the Vikings-Saints NFL matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Go with the Saints +1.5
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