- Matchup: Atlanta Dream vs Golden State Valkyries
- Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: NBC
- Spread: Atlanta (+3.0)
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The Chase Center will host Game 1 of the WNBA Finals, featuring the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) going head-to-head with the Atlanta Dream (30-14). The Valkyries are set as 3-point favorites, with the over/under opening at 154 points.
The Atlanta Dream secured a narrow victory against the New York Liberty, winning 85-83 in their previous matchup. Atlanta recorded a field goal percentage of 40.6% (28 of 69) and hit 7 of 20 attempts from three-point range. They were impressive at the charity stripe, sinking 22 of 24 free throws for a rate of 91.7%. On the rebounding front, the Dream grabbed 35 boards—11 of which were offensive. They also tallied 22 assists, while forcing 16 turnovers and notching 7 steals. Defensively, Atlanta limited New York to a 43.5% shooting percentage (27 of 62). The Liberty, in contrast, finished with 5 assists and 6 steals while collecting 36 rebounds (5 offensive, 31 defensive) along with 7 blocks. New York excelled at the foul line, converting 20 of 21 attempts for 95.2% accuracy, including 9 of 29 from beyond the arc.

Key player DeWanna Bonner made significant contributions, finishing with 13 points from 4 of 8 shooting. She played 32 minutes and secured 13 rebounds, showcasing her abilities with a shooting percentage of 50.0% and dishing out one assist.
The Atlanta Dream arrives in this matchup with a record of 30-14 this season. They average 12.6 turnovers per game and commit 19.6 fouls per outing. On average, Atlanta secures 35.6 rebounds and has tallied 944 assists throughout the season, ranking 6th in the league for assists. From three-point range, the Dream connect on 32.5% of their attempts (394 of 1,212) and are shooting 78.6% from the foul line. Offensively, they average 91.3 points per game, placing them 3rd in the league, with a field goal percentage of 44.2%. Defensively, Atlanta forces 15.4 turnovers each game while committing 21.2 fouls. They are ranked 3rd overall in assists allowed, giving up 843 assists this season. Opposing teams shoot 46.9% against them (676 of 934), and they average 31.0 rebounds allowed per game while conceding 34.8% beyond the arc. Atlanta ranks 4th in points allowed per game (84.5).
In their last match, the Golden State Valkyries emerged victorious against the Las Vegas Aces, winning 87-77. They claimed 20 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards, totaling 30 rebounds for the game. They executed 12 turnovers while achieving 7 steals. The Aces committed 17 fouls, allowing Golden State to attempt 22 free throws, converting 20 for a success rate of 90.9%. From three-point distance, the Valkyries made 7 of their 24 attempts (29.2%). Overall, Golden State shot 40.5% (30 for 74) from the floor, while the Aces managed to shoot 38.2% (26 of 68) from the field. Golden State ended with 35.0% shooting from three-point range (7 of 20) and successfully made 18 of 22 free throw attempts (81.8%). In terms of rebounding, the Valkyries allowed the Aces to gather a total of 25 boards, including 6 offensive.
Veronica Burton was a pivotal player for the Valkyries, hitting 3 of 9 shots for a shooting percentage of 33.3% and grabbing 6 boards. She scored 8 points in 37 minutes of play and distributed 4 assists.
The Golden State Valkyries hold a win-loss record of 32-12 this season. Offensively, they shoot 42.2% from the field, ranking 15th in the WNBA. With 3,615 total points this season (82.2 per game), they average 33.3 rebounds per game and deliver 19.3 assists per contest, placing them 13th in the league. The Valkyries turn the ball over 10.4 times per game and average 19.2 fouls. Defensively, they lead the league, allowing only 75.1 points per game. They force 13.7 turnovers per game and restrict opponents to 41.4% shooting from the field, leading the WNBA. Golden State allows 32.6% from beyond the arc and opponents have a free throw success rate of 75.9%. They average 18.2 assists and surrender 32.7 rebounds per game, ranking 1st and 5th in the league respectively.
Who will take the victory in tonight’s WNBA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Bet on Atlanta (+3.0)
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