- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
- Broadcast: TBS
- Betting Odds: Cleveland (+142), Tampa Bay (-172)
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On Tuesday, Game 2 of the ALCS will take place at Tropicana Field, where the Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) will face off against the Cleveland Guardians (85-77). The current betting odds position the Guardians at +142 and the Rays at -172, with the over/under set at 7 runs. The starting pitchers projected for this game are Parker Messick and Freddy Peralta.
The Cleveland Guardians have posted a slugging percentage of .380, striking out 1,271 times while walking 574 times. Their season totals include 650 RBIs and 1,291 hits, contributing to a batting average of .239. The Guardians have achieved 249 doubles and hit 162 home runs, totaling 678 runs scored, with an on-base percentage (OBP) of .316. Averaging 4.2 runs per game, they currently rank 24th in Major League Baseball (MLB).
The Guardians maintain an impressive team ERA of 3.77 this season, ranking 8th in the league, with a total of 1,530 strikeouts. Cleveland pitching has surrendered 175 home runs and 667 runs overall, also 8th in the league. Their pitchers have walked 530 batters, with a FIP of 3.82 this season. They have given up 1,286 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 602 earned runs, boasting a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.89 and a collective WHIP of 1.26.
This season, the Guardians have deployed 555 relief pitchers. The bullpen has inherited 261 runners, with 28.4% of those resulting in earned runs. They achieved 117 holds (1st in MLB) and entered games 166 times with runners on base, appearing in 178 high-leverage situations. With 46 saves this season, their save rate stands at 71.9%, having converted on 46 out of 64 save opportunities.
Defensively, the Guardians have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 12,939 innings, ranking 23rd in professional baseball. Cleveland recorded 4,313 putouts, 1,262 assists, and 86 errors, carrying a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in pro baseball) and achieving 108 double plays.
Parker Messick has pitched for 225 innings in his career, accumulating 231 strikeouts. With a 15-10 career record, Messick’s FIP is 2.56, having faced 912 hitters in the MLB. He holds a career ERA of 2.60 (65 earned runs) and a WHIP of 1.110, yielding 195 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) alongside 55 walks.
As for the Tampa Bay Rays, they have hit 169 home runs and recorded 700 RBIs this season. They have also achieved 230 doubles, while walking 514 times and scoring 736 runs. The Rays’ overall on-base percentage is .326, along with a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage is .402, averaging 4.54 runs per game (12th in MLB). This season, they have struck out 1,145 times (30th in MLB) and racked up 1,405 hits.
The Rays maintain a team WHIP of 1.139 and a FIP of 4.04 this season. They rank 4th in baseball for total hits allowed, with 1,235. Their pitching staff has conceded 650 runs, bearing a team ERA of 3.70 (with 594 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio stands at 8.20 (1,322 strikeouts against 409 walks), allowing 201 home runs and an average of 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).
This season, Tampa Bay’s bullpen pitchers feature a 32.3% inherited scoring percentage among 192 inherited runners. They have pitched in 163 high-leverage situations and 134 times with base runners on board. With a total of 194 save situations, the Rays have recorded 115 holds and experienced 20 blown saves. Their save percentage is 74.4%, ranking 4th in the league, with 522 bullpen pitchers deployed throughout the season.
The Tampa Bay Rays have executed 100 double plays this season and carry a fielding percentage of .984 (21st in professional baseball). They have amassed 1,279 assists, 92 errors, and 4,329 putouts across 12,987 innings, achieving a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in majors).
Freddy Peralta holds a 75-44 career record with a 3.57 earned run average, allowing 6.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.19, having faced 4,071 hitters. To date, he has conceded 391 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.126 and a FIP of 3.5. Throughout his career, Peralta has surrendered 735 hits while striking out 1,196 batters in 986 innings.
Who will take the win in tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Prediction: Back Cleveland (+142)
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