- Matchup: New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire FC
- Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
- Broadcast: Apple TV
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The Revolution (12-6-8) are set to clash with the Fire (14-4-9) at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA, on Saturday. The betting odds favor the Revolution at -210 while the Fire are listed at +172. The over/under stands at 3 goals. Goaltenders for this match will be Matt Turner for New England and Chris Brady for Chicago.
The Revolution rank 9th in expected goals at 20.8, and their expected goals against (xGA) stands at 19.4. New England has allowed a total of 39 goals, averaging 1.44 goals conceded per 90 minutes, while opponents have managed 144 shots on target against them. Their goal differential is +6, with 45 goals scored and 39 conceded. They have recorded 5 clean sheets, translating to an 18.5% success rate this season. The team has made 105 saves, boasting a save percentage of 72.9%, and accumulated 49 yellow cards. On average, they earn 1.70 points per match (46 points total) and are currently positioned 14th in the league with 33 assists.
The Fire currently average 1.6 points per match, with 31 assists and 2 red cards. Chicago has achieved a clean sheet percentage of 26.9% this season, alongside a tally of 63 yellow cards. They rank 10th in goals conceded with a total of 40, and their goal differential stands at +9. Over the season, the Fire’s save percentage is 66.1% with 118 shots on target against them, placing them 10th in the MLS with 42 points. Their goals against average is 1.54 per 90 minutes, with 78 saves and 7 clean sheets. So far, the Chicago Fire have scored 49 goals, and their expected goals stand at 19.6.
Matt Turner will guard the net for New England. With 18,145 minutes logged in his professional career, he has made 671 saves. He averages 1.28 goals allowed per 90 minutes (258 goals total) and has a save percentage of 72.5%. The U.S. goalkeeper has faced 925 shots in 201 career matches, securing 45 shutouts and achieving a shutout percentage of 22.3% (record of 81-57-63).
For Chicago, Chris Brady will step in as the goalkeeper. Throughout his career, he has conceded 202 goals and made 380 saves over 132 starts. Brady has kept 30 clean sheets, facing 580 shots in 11,773 minutes of play. His save percentage sits at 65.5%, and his clean sheet rate is 22.9%. He allows 1.54 goals per 90 minutes and carries a record of 46-38-48.
Carles Gil is a pivotal player for New England, having netted 74 goals over 30,294 minutes of play. The Spanish midfielder has started in 340 matches, averaging 0.22 goals per 90 minutes. He has provided 76 assists, accumulating a total of 224 points in his professional career.
On the other hand, Maren Haile-Selassie stands out for Chicago as a formidable offensive player. This Swiss forward has played for 10,082 minutes, scoring 29 goals and averaging 0.26 goals per 90 minutes. He has been a starter in 105 matches and amassed a career total of 84 points, with 26 assists.
Who will prevail in today’s soccer match against the spread?
Recommendation: Bet on New England Revolution (+172)
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