Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Analysis, 10/21/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips, and Odds

Home » Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Analysis, 10/21/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips, and Odds
 

  • Matchup: Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream
  • Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
  • Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcast: USA Network
  • Betting Odds: Golden State (+3.5)

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The Atlanta Dream (30-14) are set to face off against the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) at State Farm Arena on Wednesday for Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. The series currently stands tied at 1-1, and Atlanta enters this game as 3.5-point favorites with a total set at 152.5.

In their last outing, the Golden State Valkyries experienced a defeat in Game 2, ending with a score of 79-65. They achieved a field goal percentage of 34.4%, hitting 21 of 61 shots and making 7 of 24 attempts from beyond the arc. From the free-throw line, they converted 16 out of 19 attempts for an impressive 84.2%. They secured a total of 41 rebounds, including 12 on the offensive end, and recorded 15 assists while forcing their opponents into 12 turnovers and securing 7 steals. On defense, Golden State allowed Atlanta to shoot 33.9% from the field, hitting 21 of 62 attempts. Atlanta finished with 7 assists and 5 steals, along with 35 rebounds (7 offensive and 28 defensive) and 5 blocks. The Dream excelled at the charity stripe, converting 30 of 35 attempts for 85.7%, while their 3-point shooting was less effective at 28.0% (7 of 25).

WNBA Picks Angel Reese Atlanta Dream Predictions

In this contest, Tiffany Hayes made a significant impact, scoring 14 points on 5 of 11 shooting in her 25 minutes on the court and adding 2 rebounds and 3 assists.

The Golden State Valkyries arrive at this game with a record of 32-12 this season. They average 10.4 turnovers and commit 19.2 fouls per game. As a team, they average 33.3 rebounds per contest and rank 13th in the league with a total of 851 assists. Their 3-point shooting stands at 34.4% (459 of 1,335), while they maintain a free-throw percentage of 77.4%. The Valkyries score an average of 82.2 points per game, placing them 14th in the WNBA, and shoot at 42.2% from the field. Defensively, they force 13.7 turnovers per game and allow 18.9 personal fouls, with a defense that gives up 32.6% from 3-point range and ranks 1st in points allowed at 75.1. They surrender an opponent field goal percentage of 41.4% (1,146 of 2,769) and average 32.7 rebounds per game.

In the previous game, the Dream pulled down 28 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards, totaling 35 rebounds. They turned the ball over 12 times but managed to secure 5 steals. The Valkyries committed 13 fouls, leading to 35 free-throw attempts for the Dream, who converted 30 of those for a rate of 85.7%. Atlanta struggled from beyond the arc, making 7 of 25 attempts (28.0%), and shot 33.9% overall (21 of 62). They allowed Golden State to convert 21 of 61 field goal attempts (34.4%) and were moderately successful from the charity stripe, hitting 84.2% (16 of 19).

Angel Reese was a standout player for the Dream, achieving a stellar 62.5% field goal percentage by scoring 30 points and grabbing 16 rebounds during her 34 minutes on the floor, while also distributing 3 assists.

Atlanta holds a record of 30-14 this season. They average 19.6 fouls per game and possess a free-throw shooting percentage of 78.6%. Averaging 21.5 assists per game puts them at 6th in the WNBA, while they turnover the ball 12.6 times per game. This season, they have scored 4,019 points, averaging 91.3 points per game, and are pulling in 35.6 rebounds a game. Offensively, the Dream have a shooting percentage of 44.2%, ranking them 11th in the league. On defense, they rank 4th in points allowed, conceding an average of 84.5 points per game. They force 15.4 turnovers and allow opponents a shooting percentage of 46.9% (13th in the WNBA). The Atlanta defense gives up 34.8% on 3-pointers (355 of 1,019) and allows 76.9% free-throw shooting. They average 19.2 assists and 31.0 boards per game, placing them 3rd and 2nd in the WNBA, respectively.

Who do you think will cover the spread in tonight’s WNBA matchup?

Prediction: Take Atlanta (-3.5)

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Pick: Atlanta Dream (-3.5)
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