Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Analysis, 10/23/2026 NHL Picks, Top Bets & Odds

Home » Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Analysis, 10/23/2026 NHL Picks, Top Bets & Odds
 

  • Matchup: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche
  • Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
  • Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
  • Broadcast: WXPX-TV, Altitude Sports
  • Betting Odds: Lightning (+107) Avalanche (-121)

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The Colorado Avalanche (5-4-1) are set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning (7-2-0) at Ball Arena this Friday. The betting line shows Tampa Bay at +107 and Colorado at -121, with a total over/under set at 6.5.

NHL Picks Nikita Kucherov Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions Best Bet Odds

The Tampa Bay Lightning recently clinched a convincing 6-2 victory against the Golden Knights, showcasing their strong offensive capabilities. In that game, they successfully converted 6 out of 21 shot attempts and scored once during 3 power play situations. They incurred 8 penalty minutes during the match.

So far this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have scored 31 goals (ranking 12th in the NHL) while allowing 23 goals against them. With 14 total points, their points percentage stands at .778. Tampa Bay has had 31 power play opportunities, successfully scoring 4 times for a conversion rate of 12.90%. While playing at even strength, they conceded 18 goals while scoring 27 themselves. The Lightning have taken 268 shots with an impressive shooting percentage of 11.6%, and have faced 218 shots against, resulting in a .894 save percentage. Their opponents had 24 power play chances (29th in professional hockey) and netted 5 goals in those situations.

In goal for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over his professional career, Vasilevskiy has participated in 605 games, compiling a record of 375 wins, 180 losses, and 39 overtime losses. Throughout his career, he has allowed 1,484 goals, maintaining a goals-against average (GAA) of 2.49. He has faced 17,756 shots, making 16,275 saves for a save percentage of .917. Vasilevskiy has achieved 351 quality starts, yielding a quality start percentage of .590.

In their last encounter, the Colorado Avalanche faced the Devils, suffering a narrow 4-3 defeat. They had one power play opportunity but failed to convert it into a goal, managing to score only 3 goals from 34 shots taken.

This season, the Avalanche have taken 306 shots (ranking 5th in the NHL) with a shooting percentage of 13.40%, while allowing 273 shots against. They boast a strong penalty kill rate of 82.61% against 23 power play opportunities, achieving a save percentage of 89.0%. Colorado has secured 32 power play chances with an 18.75% success rate. They have scored 35 goals at even strength and 6 goals on the power play (ranked 18th in professional hockey). The team has allowed a total of 30 goals against, including 26 at even strength and 4 while short-handed. So far this season, the Colorado Avalanche have accumulated 41 goals and 11 points, resulting in a points percentage of .550.

In goal for the Avalanche is likely to be Mackenzie Blackwood, who has recorded 7,731 saves out of 8,541 shots against, giving him a save percentage of .905. Blackwood has a career record of 130 wins, 116 losses, and 30 overtime losses across 298 games. He has taken the ice for 280 starts, logging a total of 16,396 minutes. His quality start percentage stands at 57.1%, with 160 quality starts to his name. He has conceded an average of 2.90 goals per game, totaling 811 goals allowed over his career.

Who will claim victory in tonight’s NHL matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?

Pick: Go with Colorado (-121)

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Pick: Colorado Avalanche (-121)
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