- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos
- Scheduled Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- Broadcasting Network: CBS
- Betting Spread: Chiefs -1.0
- Projected Total Points: 41
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On Sunday, the Denver Broncos (5-2) will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) at Empower Field at Mile High. The Chiefs are slight favorites, with a 1-point spread according to Las Vegas bookmakers. The over-under for the game stands at 41 points.
The Kansas City Chiefs enter this matchup boasting a strong season record of 5-1. In their previous game against the Seattle Seahawks, they suffered a defeat, ending 20-3. Kenneth Walker III was the leading rusher for Kansas City, carrying the ball 14 times for 36 yards (2.6 yards per attempt). Noah Gray showcased his receiving skills, averaging 14.7 yards per catch with 44 yards on 3 receptions. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, resulting in a QB rating of 58.3, along with 1 interception. On defense, the Chiefs allowed 153 rushing yards on 41 attempts, showing a vulnerability of 3.7 yards per carry. Overall, Kansas City permitted 20 completions on 28 attempts for 257 yards, achieving a completion percentage of 71.4%. They ran a total of 49 plays, accumulating 213 yards, while their rushing game produced only 50 yards from 16 carries, averaging 3.1 yards per attempt.
This season, the Chiefs have amassed 2,283 total yards. They have achieved 65 first downs and incurred 41 penalties resulting in 359 yards. In terms of scoring, Kansas City has recorded 9 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. They have experienced 5 turnovers, consisting of 4 interceptions and 1 fumble. The team averages 141.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 5th in the NFL. Their scoring averages stand at 23.8 points per game.
Defensively, Kansas City has allowed 1,343 passing yards, ranking them 8th in the league. They give up 223.8 passing yards per outing and possess a completion rate allowed of 62.3%. Against the run, the Chiefs have conceded 597 rushing yards across 6 games this season. They’ve allowed 5 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns, making their total yards allowed per game average at 323.3, positioning them 14th in the league. They restrict teams to an average of 3.6 yards per carry and 99.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 2nd in points allowed with an average of 17.2 points per contest.
The Denver Broncos take the field with a 5-2 season record. In their latest matchup, they secured a victory over the Arizona Cardinals, winning 30-16. Bo Nix led the rushing efforts, carrying the ball 7 times for 74 yards, averaging 10.6 yards per attempt for Denver. RJ Harvey was a standout receiver, catching 2 passes for 54 yards (27.0 yards per reception). Bo Nix (with 1 touchdown) finished the game with 222 yards on 15-29 passing, achieving a quarterback rating of 88.6, and notably, did not throw any interceptions. The Broncos’ rushing defense allowed 94 yards on 24 attempts (3.9 yards per rush). In pass defense, they recorded a completion rate allowed of 56.3%, yielding 259 yards on 27 of 48 attempts. Denver accumulated a total of 378 yards from 55 plays, averaging 6.9 yards per play and managing 160 yards on the ground from 26 attempts with an impressive average of 6.2 yards per carry.
In scoring metrics, the Broncos rank 24th in the league averaging 20.6 points per game. They’ve recorded 1,226 passing yards this season, averaging 175.1 yards per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL. The Broncos maintain an average of 95.0 rushing yards per game over a total of 665 rushing yards. Overall, Denver averages 270.1 total yards per game, placing them 30th in the league. The Broncos offense has been penalized 55 times, costing them 383 yards, ranking 7th in mistakes across the league. Thus far, they have thrown 3 interceptions and lost 3 fumbles, achieving 58 first downs.
Defensively, the Broncos concede 20.1 points per game, ranking them 7th in the league. They have allowed 8 passing touchdowns and yield an average of 215.7 passing yards per game, contributing to their 12th place in passing defense. This season, Denver has given up a total of 933 rushing yards (133.3 per game) with 6 rushing touchdowns. The Broncos defense has featured in 489 snaps, positioning them last in the league. Overall, their defense has forced 10 turnovers this year (3 forced fumbles and 7 interceptions) while allowing 141 total points.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s Chiefs vs. Broncos NFL showdown against the spread?
Expert Pick: Choose the Chiefs -1.0
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