- Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan
- UFC Vegas 123 Preview
- Location: Meta Apex, Las Vegas
- Date: Saturday, October 31, 2026
This page may include affiliate links at no extra cost to you, thanks for your support.
On October 31, 2026, Renato Moicano will take on Tom Nolan in the opening fight at UFC Vegas 123. The initial betting odds position Moicano at -131, while Nolan comes in at +112.
Renato Moicano aims to enhance his record, currently standing at 21 wins, 7 losses, and 1 draw. At 37 years old, he weighs 155 pounds and has a height of 5’11”. As an orthodox fighter, he has a reach of 72 inches. His opponent, Tom “Big Train” Nolan, is 26 years old, stands at 6’3″, and weighs the same at 155 pounds. A southpaw, Nolan sports an impressive record of 11 wins and 1 loss and has a reach of 73 inches. In terms of striking metrics, Moicano averages 4.10 significant strikes landed per minute, while Nolan leads with 4.84. Moicano connects with 49% of his significant strikes, whereas Nolan’s connection rate is 45%. Defensively, Moicano absorbs 3.55 significant strikes per minute, while Nolan averages 3.74. Moicano successfully deflects 59% of strikes aimed at him, in contrast to Nolan’s 48% defensive rate.
| UFC Vegas 123 Stats | Renato Moicano | Tom Nolan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -131 | +112 |
| Fight Record | 21-7-1 | 11-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 9:24 | 7:55 |
| Height | 5’11” | 6’3″ |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 72″ | 73″ |
| Strikes Landed/Minute | 4.10 | 4.84 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 45% |
In grappling techniques, Renato Moicano showcases superior wrestling skills, averaging 1.68 takedowns every 15 minutes. He completes 40% of his takedown attempts and successfully defends against 64% of takedown attempts made against him. In contrast, Tom Nolan finishes only 26% of his takedown attempts and stops 58% of the takedowns aimed at him. Moicano attempts an average of 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes, while Nolan seeks submissions 1.4 times per three rounds.
In his most recent fight, Renato Moicano faced off against Chris Duncan, securing a win via rear naked choke in the second round. Duncan successfully landed 30 out of 66 total strikes, while Moicano recorded 62 out of 84 total strikes landed. In significant strikes, Duncan managed a 43% connection rate, landing 27 of 62 attempts, focusing 8 of 39 on the head. Moicano displayed better accuracy, landing 58% of his significant strikes at 21 of 36, with 16 of 31 targeting the head. Notably, 92% of Duncan’s and 95% of Moicano’s effective significant strikes occurred at a distance.
Tom Nolan’s last match was against Fares Ziam, culminating in a unanimous decision victory for Nolan in the third round. Ziam achieved a striking accuracy of 75% at distance, while Nolan connected 41% of his attempted significant strikes. Nolan landed 46% of his total strikes, with 31 of 66 being significant. He aimed 13 of 38 strikes at the head, while Ziam landed 16 of 32 significant strikes overall, with 11 of those aimed at the head. In total, Ziam landed 48 of 70 strikes whereas Nolan connected on 65 of 116 thrown strikes.
Additional Fights to Note
A must-see matchup features Randy Brown squaring off against Jacobe Smith. Brown, who holds a record of 20-8-0, is 36 years old and competes at 170 lbs, with a height of 6’3″ and a reach of 78″. Conversely, Smith, weighing in at 170 lbs, stands at 5’10” and boasts a perfect record of 13-0-0 at 30 years old, with a reach of 72″. In grappling, Randy Brown averages 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Jacobe Smith achieves an astonishing 7.92 takedowns per 3 rounds. In striking stats, Brown lands 4.39 strikes per minute with a 47% accuracy rate, while Smith connects 67% of his strikes at an impressive 6.91 strikes per minute.
Another exciting clash in the Octagon sees Cody Durden facing off against Ode Osbourne. Osbourne enters the bout with a record of 13-9-0 (2 NC), weighing 125 lbs and standing at 5’7″. As a southpaw, he has a reach of 73″. Durden, also 5’7″ and weighing 125 lbs, looks to improve his record of 18-11-1 at 35 years old, with a reach of 67″. In terms of grappling, Osbourne effectively defends 66% of takedown attempts while executing 29% of his own. Durden completes 48% of his takedown attempts and stops 56% of his opponents’ takedowns. Striking-wise, Osbourne absorbs 3.24 strikes per minute while delivering an average of 2.94 strikes, while Durden absorbs 3.89 strikes per minute and connects with 3.27 strikes.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s highly anticipated UFC match?
Pick: Back Renato Moicano (-131)
Some links on this page are affiliate links. If you sign up or make a purchase through them, we may earn a small commission always at no extra cost to you. Thanks for helping us keep this site running.
