- Matchup: Toledo Rockets vs Sacramento State Hornets
- Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026
- Venue: Hornet Stadium, Sacramento, CA
- Broadcast: CBSSN
- Point Spread: Hornets (+25.0)
- Total Points (Over/Under): 52.5
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Hornet Stadium will host the Sacramento State Hornets (2-7) as they face off against the Toledo Rockets (6-2) on November 4, 2026. Toledo enters the game as 25-point favorites, with a total points line set at 52.5.
The Toledo Rockets are arriving with a strong 6-2 record this season. In their previous matchup, they secured a thrilling 45-38 victory against the Western Michigan Broncos. The Rockets’ offense rushed 47 times for a total of 204 yards, averaging 4.3 yards per attempt. Overall, they executed 88 plays, amassing 595 yards. On defense, Toledo allowed 12 completions from 29 attempts, yielding 207 yards and achieving a 41.4% completion rate. In terms of run defense, they conceded 144 yards on 33 carries, averaging 4.4 yards per attempt.
In terms of scoring, the Toledo Rockets average an impressive 37.4 points per game. Their ground game accounts for 187.4 yards per contest, placing them 35th nationally. This season, they have accumulated a total of 3,804 yards, scoring 18 passing touchdowns and 19 rushing touchdowns. The Rockets have recorded 180 first downs and been penalized 68 times for 592 yards, resulting in 10 turnovers.
Defensively, Toledo ranks 81st in college football, allowing 25.4 points per game. Opponents are averaging 3.5 yards per rush, compiling 127.4 rushing yards each game. They’ve surrendered 1,019 rushing yards across 8 games. In the aerial game, the Rockets have given up 1,586 yards, placing them 43rd in Division 1, with a passing defense allowing 198.3 yards per game and a completion rate of 54.1%. Overall, they concede 325.6 yards per game, ranking them 38th in the nation, with 12 touchdown passes and 9 rushing touchdowns allowed.
The Hornets enter this game with a 2-7 record for the season. In their latest outing, they triumphed 31-10 against the Kent State Golden Flashes. Sacramento State accumulated a total of 278 yards, executing 67 plays at an average of 4.1 yards per play. They managed 161 rushing yards on 42 carries with an average of 3.8 yards per carry. Defensively, the Hornets allowed 93 rushing yards on 24 attempts (3.9 yards per rush) and permitted a completion percentage of 44.7%, resulting in 209 yards from 17 completions on 38 attempts.
When it comes to scoring, the Hornets sit at 133rd in D-1, averaging just 17.0 points per game. Their total offense stands at 295.9 yards per game, placing them 132nd in college football. Sacramento State has also incurred 697 yards in penalties from 71 infractions, ranking 7th nationally in penalties. They’ve committed 7 interceptions, lost 8 fumbles, and earned 157 first downs. The team has thrown for a total of 1,695 yards, averaging 188.3 passing yards, placing them 111th in Division 1. Their rushing offense averages 107.6 yards per game, with a total of 968 rushing yards.
Defensively, the Hornets allow 30.3 points per game, ranking them 114th in Division 1. They’ve relinquished 1,509 rushing yards this season (167.7 yards per game) along with 22 rushing touchdowns. Through the air, they’ve allowed 11 passing touchdowns and given up 196.1 yards per game, ranking them 41st overall. The Hornets’ defense has been on the field for 550 plays, putting them 96th in the nation, with 5 fumble recoveries and 5 interceptions for the season. They’ve allowed a total of 273 points thus far.
Which team will come out on top in tonight’s Rockets/Hornets game against the spread?
Expert’s Pick: Bet on the Rockets -25.0
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