Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs Analysis, 11/6/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs Analysis, 11/6/2026 College Football Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

  • Matchup: Virginia Tech Hokies vs SMU Mustangs
  • Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
  • Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX
  • Broadcast: ESPN
  • Betting Odds: Mustangs favored by 6.5 points
  • Over/Under: 55 points

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The SMU Mustangs (6-2) are set to host the Virginia Tech Hokies (6-2) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Friday, November 6, 2026. Virginia Tech enters the game as 6.5-point underdogs according to sportsbooks. The total points line is set at 55.

The Virginia Tech Hokies bring a solid 6-2 record into the matchup. In their previous game, they triumphed over the Clemson Tigers with a final score of 20-16. After 70 total plays, the Hokies amassed 234 offensive yards, including 37 rushing attempts for 70 yards, averaging 1.9 yards per carry. Defensively, the Hokies conceded 135 rushing yards on 36 attempts, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. They allowed 20 completions out of 26 attempts, yielding 153 passing yards with a completion rate of 76.9%.

College Football Predictions, Kendrick Raphael, SMU Mustangs Betting Odds

Offensively, Virginia Tech is putting up an impressive average of 35.0 points per game. They are currently ranked 95th in the nation for rushing, accumulating 139.8 yards on the ground per game. With a total of 3,393 yards this season, the Hokies have recorded 18 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns. They’ve racked up 188 first downs and incurred 54 penalties costing them 496 yards, while they have had 10 turnovers.

On the defensive side, the Hokies rank 37th nationally, allowing 20.5 points per game. Opponents average 3.0 yards per carry and the Hokies concede an average of 93.4 rushing yards per game, with a total of 747 rushing yards allowed across 8 games. In the air, Virginia Tech has allowed 1,744 passing yards, ranking 72nd in Division 1, giving up 218.0 yards per game through the air with a completion percentage of 65.1%. Overall, they allow 311.4 total yards per game, placing them 27th nationally, having surrendered 9 passing and 11 rushing touchdowns.

Meanwhile, the Mustangs also stand at 6-2 this season. In their last outing, they suffered a narrow defeat against the Syracuse Orange, concluding the game at 30-27. The Mustangs managed only 2.2 yards per carry on the ground, finishing with 69 rushing yards from 31 attempts. They achieved 421 total offensive yards on 68 plays, averaging 6.2 yards per play. In pass defense, SMU allowed a 61.8% completion rate, giving up 200 yards on 21 of 34 attempts, while their rush defense faced 37 attempts for a total of 138 yards (3.7 per carry).

In terms of scoring, the Mustangs rank 26th in Division 1 with an average of 35.3 points per game. They lead the nation in total offense with an average of 464.1 yards per game, positioning them 15th overall. The SMU offense has accumulated 554 penalty yards from 59 infractions, ranking them 39th for yielding free yards. They have thrown 5 interceptions and lost 6 fumbles, while also generating 198 first downs. So far, they have accrued a total of 2,544 passing yards, averaging 318.0 yards per game (8th in the country), alongside averaging 146.1 rushing yards totaling 1,169 yards this season.

On defense, the Mustangs have allowed 1,007 rushing yards (125.9 yards/game) and 10 rushing touchdowns this season. They have also surrendered 10 passing touchdowns, with an average of 181.8 passing yards allowed per game, placing them 28th nationally, and conceding a total of 178 points. Their defense has recorded 4 fumble recoveries and 2 interceptions this season. Overall, the Mustangs have participated in 506 defensive plays, ranking them 43rd in Division 1. They are giving up 22.3 points per game, which ranks them 53rd in college football.

Who will take the win in this exciting college football clash between the Hokies and Mustangs?

Prediction: Bet on the Mustangs -6.5

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Pick: SMU Mustangs -6.5
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