- Matchup: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
- Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
- Venue: Subaru Park, Chester, PA
- Broadcast: Apple TV
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The Philadelphia Union (9-12-12) will face off against Toronto FC (13-8-12) at Subaru Park on Saturday. The Union are favored at -275 while Toronto FC stands at +220. The total goals for betting is set at 3. Anticipated goalkeepers are Andre Blake for Philadelphia and Luka Gavran for Toronto.

Philadelphia Union has allowed 51 goals this season, averaging 1.55 goals against per 90 minutes, with opponents recording 121 shots on target. The team has secured 7 clean sheets, resulting in a shutout percentage of 21.2%. They have accrued 74 yellow cards and 4 red cards throughout the season. Currently, Philadelphia ranks 1st in expected goals (22.7) while having an expected goals against of 18.4. The Union average 1.42 points per match (47 points) and are 6th in Major League Soccer for assists, totaling 45. Their goal differential stands at +8, having scored 59 goals and conceded 51. They have registered 70 saves, yielding a save percentage of 57.9% this season.
Toronto FC averages 1.2 points per match, accumulating 37 assists and 3 red cards. The team has a clean sheet rate of 12.1% this season with a total of 60 yellow cards. Toronto ranks 25th in goals allowed, conceding 63, which contributes to a goal difference of -16. This season, they have a save percentage of 63.8% (174 shots on target) and hold the 24th rank in MLS with 39 points. Toronto’s goals against per 90 minutes is 1.91, alongside 111 saves and 4 clean sheets. They have netted a total of 47 goals, with an expected goals tally of 22.1.
Andre Blake will be the goalkeeper for Philadelphia. Throughout his professional career, Blake has played 29,303 minutes, achieving 908 saves. He allows an average of 1.23 goals per 90 minutes (399 total goals allowed) with a 70.6% save percentage. The Jamaican goalkeeper has faced 1,287 shots in 328 appearances, holding a record of 146 wins, 83 losses, and 99 draws, with 103 clean sheets, resulting in a 31.6% clean sheet rate.
For Toronto, Luka Gavran takes the goalkeeping position. In his career, Gavran has conceded 95 goals and made 163 saves in 49 appearances. He has an average of 1.98 goals against per 90 minutes, with a career record of 11 wins, 15 losses, and 23 draws. His save percentage currently sits at 63.2%, with a clean sheet rate of 12.5%. Gavran has achieved 6 clean sheets, facing 258 shots over 4,342 minutes of play.
Bruno Damiani is a key player for Philadelphia, contributing significantly on the field. He has 10 assists and 80 career points, scoring 35 goals in 8,250 minutes of play. The Uruguayan forward has started 92 games, averaging 0.38 goals per 90 minutes.
Toronto boasts Daniel Salloi, a notable player known for his defensive prowess. He averages 0.28 goals per 90 minutes and has started 257 matches in his career. The Hungarian forward has spent 23,636 minutes on the field, scoring 74 goals. He has amassed 197 career points, assisting on 49 goals during his time on the pitch.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s match against the spread?
Recommendation: Back Toronto FC (-275)
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