Illinois State Redbirds vs Purdue Boilermakers Outlook, 11/9/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds

Home » Illinois State Redbirds vs Purdue Boilermakers Outlook, 11/9/2026 College Basketball Predictions, Top Picks & Odds
 

  • Matchup: Illinois State Redbirds vs. Purdue Boilermakers
  • Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
  • Venue: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN
  • Broadcast: FS1

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The Purdue Boilermakers (0-2) are set to host the Illinois State Redbirds (1-1) at Mackey Arena this Monday.

NCAA Basketball Predictions by Daniel Jacobsen for Purdue Boilermakers

In their latest matchup, the Illinois State Redbirds faced off against Central State, securing a decisive 100-55 victory. During the game, the Redbirds committed 15 personal fouls, while Central State incurred 11. Illinois State made 4 of 9 attempts from beyond the arc. Central State struggled at the free-throw line, converting just 4 out of 8. They managed to grab 14 rebounds (4 offensive and 10 defensive) but did not record a block. Central State also tallied 7 assists and had 4 steals. On the defensive end, Illinois State allowed their opponents to shoot 48.8% (20 of 41) from the field. The Redbirds achieved a field goal percentage of 62.3% (33 of 53), hitting 16 of 30 from three-point range and finishing the game with 23 assists, forcing 12 turnovers and securing 9 steals.

Malik Moore was a standout player in this matchup, scoring 18 points on 4 of 7 shooting in just 21 minutes of play. He also collected 6 rebounds and recorded 3 assists.

The Redbirds come into this contest with a 1-1 record this season. They average 92.5 points per game, ranking 78th in Division 1, boasting a field goal percentage of 55.0%. The team excels from long range, shooting 50.9% (29 of 57) from three-point territory and hitting 65.4% at the free-throw line. On average, Illinois State collects 34.0 rebounds per game and has accumulated 43 assists this season, positioning them 26th nationally for assists. They average 14.0 turnovers and 18.0 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Redbirds force 14.0 turnovers per game and draw 19.0 fouls. They limit opposing teams to 29.0% shooting from three-point range and are currently ranked 194th in points allowed per game at 72.5. Illinois State allows a field goal percentage of 47.1% (57 of 121) and gives up an average of 32.5 rebounds per game, ranking 263rd in Division 1 for assists allowed, with 27 so far this season.

The Purdue Boilermakers faced a tough loss in their previous game, falling to Valparaiso by a score of 83-80. They recorded 41 total rebounds—12 offensive and 29 defensive—and committed 10 turnovers while notching 7 steals. Valparaiso committed 25 fouls, giving Purdue the chance to shoot 32 free throws, of which they converted 27 for an impressive 84.4% free-throw percentage. However, Purdue struggled from beyond the arc, making only 5 of 28 attempts (17.9%). Over the course of the game, they shot 37.5% (24 of 64) overall. Defensively, Purdue allowed Valparaiso to shoot 46.5% (33 of 71) from the floor and 25.9% from three-point range (7 of 27).

Daniel Jacobsen was crucial for Purdue, scoring 28 points on 9 of 13 shooting, with 10 rebounds and 2 assists during his 42 minutes on the court.

Currently, the Boilermakers hold an 0-2 record this season, averaging 19.5 personal fouls per game and a free-throw percentage of 79.2%. They record 18.0 assists per contest (102nd in the nation) while turning the ball over 10.5 times. Purdue has amassed 152 points this year and averages 38.5 rebounds per game. Collectively, they shoot 42.0% from the floor, placing them 251st nationally.

On defense, Purdue allows opponents to shoot 30.2% (13 of 43) from three-point range, with foes hitting 72.0% of their free throws. They yield an average of 13.5 assists and 35.5 rebounds per game, ranking them 221st and 198th in Division 1, respectively. The Boilermakers rank 283rd in college basketball for points allowed per game, surrendering 80.5. They force 9.5 turnovers per game and allow opponents to shoot 45.2% from the field (253rd in D-1).

Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s NCAA showdown against the spread?

Selection: Go with Purdue

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Pick: Purdue Boilermakers
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