Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres
Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Broadcast: Padres.TV
Betting Odds: Arizona (+220), San Diego (-275)
On Wednesday, the Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46) will visit Petco Park aiming to take on the San Diego Padres (48-42). The current odds favor San Diego at -275, while Arizona stands at +220. The over/under is set at 8.5 runs. Pitching for the Diamondbacks is Brandon Pfaadt, while Dylan Cease will take the mound for the Padres.
The Diamondbacks have accumulated 158 doubles and launched 133 home runs as a team this season. With a slugging percentage of .446, they have struck out 716 times but have also drawn 323 walks. Arizona is scoring 5.1 runs per game, placing them 3rd in the league. They have tallied 457 RBIs and recorded 778 hits, maintaining a team batting average of .252. Their on-base percentage stands at .328 with a total of 467 runs scored.
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The Diamondbacks feature a team ERA of 4.68 this season, ranking them 26th in MLB. The pitching staff has struck out 786 batters, allowing 119 home runs and a total of 464 runs (27th in MLB). They have issued 293 walks, with a collective FIP of 4.29. Arizona has given up 787 hits (averaging 8.7 hits per 9 innings) and 422 earned runs, with a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and a WHIP of 1.33.
This season, the Diamondbacks have used 284 relievers, with 99 inherited runners, 34.3% of whom have scored. They have achieved 27 saves with a save percentage of 61.4%, having converted 17 out of 44 save opportunities. Arizona’s bullpen boasts 52 holds this year, placing them 14th in the league. This unit has entered 99 save situations and has faced opponents on base 77 times.
The Diamondbacks have registered 2,437 putouts, 799 assists, and 47 errors, achieving a fielding percentage of .986—ranking them 19th in the majors. They have successfully turned 71 double plays, converting 69.0% of balls in play into outs over 7,311 innings, which ranks them 21st in the league.
Pfaadt (22-25 career record) has a FIP of 5.08 and has faced 1,583 hitters. He has allowed 395 hits (9.7 per nine innings) and issued 91 walks. His ERA stands at 5.16, with 211 earned runs allowed and a WHIP of 1.320. In his MLB career spanning 368 innings, Pfaadt has recorded 359 strikeouts.
On the other side, the San Diego Padres have an on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .246 this season. They have struck out 639 times (28th in MLB) and have recorded 737 base hits. The Padres have hit 76 home runs, accumulating 341 RBIs, while posting a slugging percentage of .373. On average, they score 4.07 runs per game, placing them 23rd in baseball, along with 129 doubles and 295 walks, having scored 366 runs overall.
San Diego’s pitching staff boasts a WHIP of 1.237 and a collective FIP of 3.85. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.70 (with 773 strikeouts and 298 walks). They are 4th in MLB for total hits allowed (687) and have yielded 89 home runs, with an ERA of 3.69 (326 earned runs) and allowing 4.04 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).
In 102 save opportunities, the Padres have achieved 60 holds and recorded 11 blown saves. Their bullpen has entered 41 save situations, securing 30 saves. They have faced opponents in high leverage situations 123 times and with baserunners on 104 occasions, holding an inherited score rate of 34.7% out of 144 inherited runners. San Diego ranks 3rd in MLB with a save percentage of 73.2%, utilizing 317 bullpen pitchers this season.
The Padres have executed 62 double plays and achieved a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). They have recorded 690 assists, 43 errors, and 2,388 putouts this season. Their defensive efficiency of 70.9% over 7,164 innings sits 9th in major league baseball.
Cease (60-54 career record) presents a 3.84 ERA, surrendering 7.6 hits per nine innings. He holds a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and has faced 4,001 opposing hitters during his major league career. He has allowed 403 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.260, and a FIP of 3.80. Throughout his professional career, Cease has conceded 795 hits while amassing 1,137 strikeouts in 944 innings pitched.
Which team will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or the moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Select San Diego (-275)
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