- Matchup: Washington Commanders vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
- Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
- Broadcast: FOX
- Betting Odds: Chargers favored by -2.5 points
- Total Points Over/Under: 48
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The Washington Commanders (2-2) are set to visit SoFi Stadium on Sunday for a showdown against the Los Angeles Chargers (3-1). The Chargers enter this contest as 2.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 48 points.
The Commanders hold a 2-2 record as they approach this game. In their previous matchup, they faced off against the Atlanta Falcons and lost 34-27. Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the team in rushing with 7 carries for 47 yards, averaging 6.7 yards per run. Deebo Samuel recorded 72 yards on 6 catches, averaging 12.0 yards per reception. Quarterback Marcus Mariota completed 16 of 27 passes for 156 yards and 2 touchdowns, finishing with a QB rating of 84.8, but also threw 1 interception. Defensively, the Commanders allowed 128 rushing yards on 37 attempts (3.5 yards per rush) and conceded 20 pass completions on 26 attempts for a total of 307 passing yards, with a completion percentage of 76.9%. Overall, Washington ran 49 plays for 294 total yards, executing 22 rushes for 147 yards, averaging 6.7 yards per carry.
In terms of scoring output, the Commanders are averaging 26.8 points per game. Offensively, they rank second in the league with an average of 154.8 rushing yards per game, totaling 1,356 yards for the season. Washington has achieved 36 first downs, while drawing 30 penalties for a total of 223 yards. They have turned the ball over twice (one interception and one fumble), scoring 6 touchdowns through the air and adding 5 rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Commanders rank 18th in the league, allowing an average of 22.8 points per game. They permit 3.6 yards per rush and have allowed 107.5 rushing yards per game this season. In terms of passing defense, they have given up 994 total passing yards, ranking 27th in the league, with a completion percentage of 61.0%. Overall, they are conceding 356.0 total yards per game, placing them 24th in the league. They have allowed 7 touchdown passes and 3 rushing touchdowns, yielding a total of 430 rushing yards over the first four games.
The Chargers come into this contest with a 3-1 record. In their most recent outing, they were defeated by the New York Giants with a score of 21-18. Omarion Hampton was the standout performer in the rushing game, carrying the ball 12 times for 128 yards, averaging an impressive 10.7 yards per carry. Quentin Johnston was the leading receiver, securing 8 catches for 98 yards (12.3 yards per reception). Quarterback Justin Herbert threw for 203 yards on 23 of 41 pass attempts with 1 touchdown and a QB rating of 57.3, but he also threw 2 interceptions. The Chargers’ rushing defense conceded 161 yards on 42 attempts (3.8 yards per rush) and allowed a completion percentage of 66.7% in the passing game, yielding 89 yards on 14 of 21 attempts. Los Angeles accumulated 338 yards over 54 offensive plays, averaging 6.3 yards per play, while their rushing offense tallied 152 yards on just 13 attempts, averaging 11.7 yards per carry.
Regarding scoring efficiency, the Chargers are ranked 20th in the league, averaging 22.0 points per game. Throughout the season, they have accumulated 996 passing yards, averaging 249.0 yards per game, placing them 5th in the NFL. They also average 107.3 rushing yards per game, totaling 429 rushing yards this season. Their overall offensive performance ranks 8th in the league, with an average of 356.3 total yards per game. Los Angeles has conceded 214 yards through 29 penalties, positioning them 18th in free yards allowed. They have given up 3 interceptions and 2 fumbles while achieving 49 first downs overall.
Defensively, they’ve allowed 3 touchdowns in the passing game, yielding an average of 158.8 yards per game through the air, ranking them 5th in the league. On the ground, they have surrendered a total of 445 rushing yards (111.3 per game), along with 3 rushing touchdowns this season. Their defense has forced 3 turnovers so far and has given up 71 points overall. The Chargers’ defense has been on the field for 240 plays from scrimmage, which ranks 13th in the NFL, allowing an average of 17.8 points per game, placing them 4th in the league.
Who will emerge victorious in this Commanders-Chargers NFL matchup against the spread?
Pick: Choose the Chargers -2.5
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