New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Forecast, 7/9/2025 MLB Selections, Top Wagers & Odds

Matchup: New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles

Scheduled Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Broadcast: MASN

Betting Odds: New York Mets (-150) Baltimore Orioles (+125)

The New York Mets (52-39) will face off against the Baltimore Orioles (40-49) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards this Wednesday. The betting line currently favors the Mets at -150, with the Orioles opening at +125. The total runs for this matchup are set at 9. The pitchers slated to start are David Peterson and Tomoyuki Sugano.

The Mets currently hold a slugging percentage of .418, with 710 strikeouts and 311 walks recorded this season. They have tallied 392 RBIs alongside 744 hits, maintaining a batting average of .245. As a team, the Mets have hit 142 doubles and 118 home runs, scoring a total of 402 runs with an on-base percentage of .324. Their average of 4.4 runs per game places them 14th in the league.

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The Mets’ K/BB ratio stands at 2.35 with a WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have allowed 79 home runs and a total of 358 runs, ranking 9th in the league. They’ve ceded 720 hits (at a rate of 8.0 hits per 9 innings) and 318 earned runs, collectively recording a 3.54 ERA, which is the 6th-best in Major League Baseball. They have struck out 786 batters while issuing 334 walks, bringing their FIP to 3.77 for the season.

This year, Mets pitchers have faced runners on base 97 times and have participated in 108 significant situations. The bullpen has achieved 59 holds (8th in MLB) and maintains a save percentage of 61.9%. So far, they’ve entered 101 save situations, successfully converting 26 and failing in 16 out of their 42 save opportunities. The relief corps has inherited 148 runners, with 34.5% of them scoring. A total of 291 relief appearances have been made by the Mets this season.

The Minnesota Twins have recorded 2,424 putouts, along with 820 assists and 43 errors so far this season. Their fielding percentage is currently .987, which positions them 12th in the majors, alongside 73 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.7% of the balls put in play into outs over 7,272 innings, ranking them 17th in the league.

Peterson, with a career record of 34-28, shows a FIP of 3.86 after facing 2,378 batters. He has allowed 520 hits (averaging 8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has recorded 234 walks. His career ERA stands at 3.92 with 242 earned runs conceded, and his WHIP is at 1.356. To date, Peterson has pitched 556 innings and tallied 551 strikeouts.

The Orioles have hit 107 home runs this season, accumulating 350 RBIs. With 139 doubles and 252 walks, they’ve scored a total of 371 runs. Baltimore posts a team OBP of .305 with a batting average of .239 for the year. Their slugging percentage is .400, and they average 4.17 runs per game, ranking 19th in the league. The Orioles have been struck out 788 times (9th in MLB) and achieved 713 base hits.

On the pitching side, the Orioles have surrendered 453 runs this season, reflecting a team ERA of 4.94 (with 429 earned runs allowed). They have given up 123 home runs and yielded 5.21 runs per 9 innings, which is 27th in the league. Baltimore’s staff has a WHIP of 1.421 along with a FIP of 4.47. Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (734 strikeouts versus 287 walks), placing them 28th in MLB for total hits allowed, having conceded 824 hits.

Baltimore’s bullpen has a success rate of 18.4% for inherited runners out of 136. Their relievers have appeared in 95 high-pressure situations and have had runners on base in 103 of their appearances. With 105 save situations, the Orioles have accomplished 68 holds against 12 blown saves. Their save rate of 64.7% ranks them 11th in baseball, having used 316 relievers this year. Baltimore has converted 22 out of 34 save opportunities successfully.

The Orioles’ defensive efficiency stands at 67.3% over their 7,041 innings played, ranking them 29th in professional baseball. They’ve recorded 64 double plays and own a .985 fielding percentage (24th in MLB). This season, the Orioles have made 779 assists, 49 errors, and have achieved 2,347 putouts.

This season, Sugano has given up 103 hits while achieving 57 strikeouts in 93 innings pitched. With a career record of 6-5, his ERA sits at 4.45, allowing 10.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 46 earned runs, with a WHIP of 1.310 and FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is at 3.00, having faced 397 opposing batters in his professional career.

Who will triumph in tonight’s MLB matchup, either against the spread or on the moneyline?

Pick from Tony Sink: Opt for New York (-150)

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