Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins
Event Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Broadcast: Twins.TV
Betting Odds: Chicago (-152) Minnesota (+126)
The Chicago Cubs (54-36) are set to face off against the Minnesota Twins (43-47) at Target Field this Wednesday. The odds indicate the Cubs as favorites at -152, while the Twins are positioned at +126. The game total is set at 9 runs, with Cade Horton and David Festa scheduled as the starting pitchers.

As it stands, the Chicago Cubs are scoring an impressive average of 5.5 runs per game, ranking them first in the league. They have accumulated a total of 492 runs and an on-base percentage of .328. With 158 doubles and 136 home runs, they boast 481 RBIs and 802 hits this season, maintaining a batting average of .257. The Cubs also have a slugging percentage of .451, though they have struck out 700 times while receiving 315 walks.
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The Cubs currently hold a team ERA of 3.78, placing them 13th in Major League Baseball. Their pitching staff has struck out 676 batters and allowed 107 home runs, with a total of 366 runs given up (12th in the league). Collectively, they have issued 246 walks, with a FIP of 4.16 throughout the season. Chicago pitchers have conceded 745 hits (averaging 8.3 per 9 innings) and 338 earned runs, maintaining a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.23.
In clutch situations, Cubs relievers have entered the game with runners on base 66 times and have made 97 high-leverage appearances. Their bullpen has recorded 57 holds this year (10th in MLB) and a save percentage of 67.7%, with 91 save situations yielding 21 saves and 10 blown saves. Out of 90 inherited runners, 31.1% have scored. This season, 301 relief pitchers have taken the mound for the Cubs.
The Boston Red Sox have reported 2,414 putouts, 765 assists, and 39 errors this season, resulting in a fielding percentage of .988, ranking 7th in MLB. The Cubs have converted 71.1% of balls hit into play to outs across 7,242 innings, ranking them 6th in the league.
Pitcher Cade Horton has logged 52 innings with 38 strikeouts in his professional career. With a career win-loss record of 3-2, Horton has a FIP of 4.09, having faced 225 batters in the majors. His earned run average stands at 4.15 (24 earned runs), and he has a career WHIP of 1.385, having allowed 56 hits (averaging 9.7 hits per 9 innings) and issued 16 walks.
The Minnesota Twins have hit 102 home runs this season and accumulated 360 RBIs. They have tallied 138 doubles, drawn 262 walks, and scored 374 runs. The team posts a .309 on-base percentage and a .239 batting average, along with a slugging percentage of .391, averaging 4.16 runs per game (22nd in the league). The Twins have struck out 750 times (16th in MLB) and recorded 719 hits.
As a unit, the Twins have a WHIP of 1.253 and a FIP of 3.72 this season. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio stands at 8.70 (766 strikeouts against 234 walks). Currently, they rank 19th in the league for total hits allowed, having given up 755 hits and 93 home runs, averaging 4.47 runs allowed per 9 innings (20th in MLB). This season, the Minnesota pitching staff has yielded a total of 392 runs with a team ERA of 4.15 (364 earned runs allowed).
In 31 save situations, the Twins’ bullpen has recorded 58 holds and 14 blown saves. They have had 31 opportunities to save games, converting 17 successfully. Throughout the season, their relief pitchers have appeared in 108 high-leverage situations and 65 appearances with runners on base, holding a 35.9% inherited score rate from 92 inherited runners. Ranking 25th in save rate at 54.8%, 306 bullpen pitchers have taken the mound this year.
With a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (23rd in MLB), the Twins have completed 45 double plays and hold a .985 fielding percentage (20th in MLB), accumulating 668 assists, 45 errors, and 2,367 putouts this season.
Festa (4-9 career record) has a 5.16 earned run average and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio stands at 3.13, having faced 463 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up 61 earned runs with a WHIP of 1.345 and a FIP of 5.1. Throughout his career, Festa has allowed 104 hits and recorded 122 strikeouts in 106 innings.
Who will take the win in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink’s Prediction: Bet on Chicago (-152)
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