Matchup: Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx
Points Prop: 13 – Over (-115) Under (-111)
Rebounds Prop: 8 – Over (-145) Under (+110)
Assists Prop: 7 – Over (+105) Under (-135)
The Footprint Center is set to host the exciting clash between Alyssa Thomas and the Phoenix Mercury against the Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. Player prop bets commence with totals of 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and 13 points for Thomas.
Alyssa Thomas 2025 Season Statistics
Defensively, she averages 1.6 steals and 0.4 blocks per game. This season, she has a total of 137 assists and 105 rebounds (including 25 offensive rebounds and 80 defensive boards). Over the course of 426 minutes played, Thomas has amassed 201 points. Her free throw percentage stands at 68.3%, alongside an effective field goal percentage of 53.0%. With a field goal percentage of 53.0%, she has not attempted any three-pointers. Across 14 games, she averages 14.4 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 9.8 assists per game.
Alyssa Thomas Career Statistics
In her WNBA career, Thomas averages 7.5 total rebounds, with 2.0 offensive and 5.4 defensive. She has a free throw percentage of 64.8% and has scored 4,093 points, contributed 1,599 assists, and secured 2,500 rebounds. Offensively, she averages 14.5 points and 5.7 assists per game in her professional career, and has played 10,180 minutes, recording 516 steals and 109 blocks. On defense, her averages include 1.5 steals and 0.3 blocks per game. Thomas has a shooting percentage of 48.5% and a three-point shooting rate of 9.1% throughout her career.
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Alyssa Thomas Recent Performance (Last 5 Games)
| Opponent | Minutes | Points | Assists | Rebounds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Wings | 29 | 15 | 15 | 10 |
| Dallas Wings | 34 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| Las Vegas Aces | 33 | 16 | 8 | 7 |
| New York Liberty | 31 | 17 | 15 | 9 |
| Chicago Sky | 21 | 11 | 8 | 3 |
Minnesota Lynx Defensive Overview
Currently, the Lynx rank 12th in the league for allowing assists, with 337 given up this season. The Minnesota Lynx can force 14.2 turnovers per game while committing an average of 17.7 fouls. Their defense is allowing opponents to shoot at 40.2% (1,278 of 514) and conceding an average of 34.4 rebounds per game. They have allowed 29.5% shooting from three-point range and rank 13th in points allowed per game (74.1).
Phoenix Mercury Recent Performance (Last 5 Games)
The Mercury have shot 39.5% from the field (30 of 63) and 21.1% for free throw shooting per attempt over their last five games. Their three-point shooting percentage has been 36.5%, with a two-point shooting rate of 41.7%. Alyssa Thomas has accounted for 38.6% of the assists during this stretch, averaging 9.3 assists per game. Additionally, she has contributed to 13.3% of the team’s points and 16.7% of the rebounds. The Mercury are averaging 85.0 points and securing 35.8 rebounds per game over their last five outings.
Alyssa Thomas Performance Analysis (Last 10 Games)
Over her last 10 games, Alyssa Thomas has recorded 4 blocks, 74 rebounds, and 135 points. She averages 7.4 rebounds and 2.3 fouls per game, hitting an average of 2.9 free throws. Thomas has played 29.4 minutes per game, shooting 54.9% from the field. She has tallied 112 assists, 16 steals, and has made 53 field goals in this span. Her effective shooting percentage is at 58.3%, while her free throw percentage is 63.2% over the last ten games. Offensively, she averages 11.2 assists and 13.5 points accompanied by 2.8 turnovers.
Guy Bruhn’s Recommendation: Bet on the Over for Points (-115)
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