- Matchup: UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats
- Date: Saturday, October 11, 2025
- Venue: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
- Broadcast: FS1
- Point Spread: Bearcats favored by (-10.5)
- Total Points: Over/Under 56
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The Cincinnati Bearcats (4-1) take on the UCF Knights (3-2) at Nippert Stadium on Saturday, October 11, 2025. The odds favor Cincinnati by 10.5 points, with an over/under set at 56.
The UCF Knights enter this game with a record of 3-2 this season. In their previous game, they faced off against the Kansas Jayhawks and suffered a defeat, ending with a score of 27-20. The Knights executed 39 rushing attempts, accumulating 199 yards at an average of 5.1 yards per carry. They ran a total of 76 plays, resulting in 375 yards. Defensively, UCF allowed 18 completions on 26 attempts for 235 yards, achieving a completion rate of 69.2%. In terms of defending the run, the Knights conceded 121 yards on 32 carries, averaging 3.8 yards per attempt.

Scoring-wise, the UCF Knights average 31.8 points per game. On the ground, they are generating an average of 202.2 rushing yards, placing them 32nd in Division 1. Throughout the season, UCF has accumulated 2,125 total yards. For their scoring achievement, they have completed 4 touchdown passes and achieved 13 rushing touchdowns. The Knights have recorded 100 first downs offensively and faced 34 penalties totaling 265 yards. They’ve turned the ball over 5 times.
Defensively, the Knights have allowed 754 passing yards, ranking 15th nationally. They’ve permitted an average of 150.8 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 62.7%. Overall, they are conceding an average of 305.8 yards per game, placing them 28th in Division 1. The Knights have surrendered 3 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns, allowing an average of 4.1 yards per carry and 155.0 rushing yards per game this season. In total, they have given up 775 rushing yards over 5 games and are ranked 28th in terms of their opponents’ scoring, conceding 17.4 points per game.
The Cincinnati Bearcats enter this contest with a 4-1 record this season. In their most recent game, they secured a victory against the Iowa State Cyclones, winning 38-30. Cincinnati’s rushing attack averaged 7.6 yards per carry, amassing 260 yards on 34 attempts. They achieved a total of 474 offensive yards while running 59 plays (8.0 yards per play). In pass defense, the Bearcats allowed a completion rate of 62.5%, giving up 314 yards on 30 for 48 passing attempts. Cincinnati faced 37 rushing attempts, conceding 156 yards (4.2 yards per carry).
The Cincinnati Bearcats are averaging 478.4 total yards per game, ranking them 15th in the nation. The Bearcats’ offense has incurred 333 penalty yards through 37 infractions, ranking 38th for free yardage given up. Their running game has netted an average of 205.2 yards per game, resulting in 1,026 yards for the season. They’ve thrown 1 interception, allowed opponents to recover 3 fumbles, and managed to secure 110 first downs. Currently, Cincinnati ranks 17th in college football, scoring an impressive 39.2 points per game. For the season, they have thrown for a total of 1,366 passing yards, averaging 273.2 passing yards per game, which places them 33rd nationally.
On defense, Cincinnati has conceded a total of 579 rushing yards (an average of 115.8 yards per game) and allowed 3 rushing touchdowns this season. They’ve also given up 9 passing touchdowns and 262.0 yards per game through the air, ranking them 120th in Division 1. This season, the Bearcats have allowed a total of 104 points. Their defense has forced 2 fumbles and has yet to record an interception. The Bearcats’ defense has participated in 341 plays, positioning them 69th in Division 1, while allowing an average of 20.8 points per game, placing them 47th in Division 1.
Which team will emerge victorious in this Knights/Bearcats college football clash against the spread?
Recommendation: Take the Knights +10.5
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