Matchup: LA Galaxy vs D.C. United
Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
Broadcast: MLS Season Pass
The Galaxy (2-6-13) are set to face the Black-and-Red (4-7-10) at Dignity Health Sports Park. The betting odds place LA at +110, while D.C. United stands at -132. The over/under is established at 3 goals, with goalkeepers Novak Micovic for LA and Luis Barraza for D.C. assigned to guard the nets.
The Galaxy are currently ranked 22nd in expected goals with a total of 25.6. Their expected goals against stands at 34.9, having conceded 42 goals and averaging 2.00 goals allowed per 90 minutes. They have faced 96 shots on target from opponents, resulting in a goal difference of -20 with a tally of 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. They have managed just 2 shutouts this season, yielding a rate of 9.5%. LA has achieved 55 saves and holds a save percentage of 56.3%. On the disciplinary front, the Galaxy have accumulated 46 yellow cards and 1 red card this season. Overall, they are averaging 0.57 points per match (12 points) and currently sit at 24th in MLS with only 14 assists.
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D.C. United has notched 17 goals, with expected goals this season at 22.9. Their goals against average is at 1.86, along with 69 saves, and they have secured 4 clean sheets. This year, their save percentage is 63.6% (107 shots on target faced), ranking them 25th in the league with 19 points. D.C. is positioned 28th in terms of goals conceded with 39, giving them a goal difference of -22. The team has achieved a clean sheet percentage of 19.0% and received 55 yellow cards thus far. They average 0.9 points per game while contributing a total of 12 assists.
For LA, goalkeeper Novak Micovic will be under scrutiny. He has logged 1,260 minutes on the field and has made 34 saves throughout his career. The Serbian keeper has faced 58 shots in 14 starts, allowing 1.71 goals per 90 minutes (totaling 24 goals conceded) and boasts a save percentage of 58.6%. Micovic’s record includes 3 shutouts, lending him a clean sheet rate of 21.4%.
On the other end, Luis Barraza will handle duties for D.C. In his career, Barraza has given up 62 goals while making 117 saves in 43 starting appearances. He has an average of 1.41 goals conceded per 90 minutes and holds a career record of 11-14-18. His save percentage stands at 66.1%, while his clean sheet rate is 20.5%. Barraza has produced 9 shutouts defending against 177 shots over 3,949 minutes played.
Gabriel Chaves emerges as a key player to watch for LA. The Brazilian forward has netted 19 goals in 4,329 minutes on the pitch. Chaves has started 48 matches in his career, averaging 0.39 goals per 90 minutes. He has also contributed 12 assists, accumulating a total of 50 points during his professional journey.
D.C. United will rely on Christian Benteke, a prominent forward defenders will be keen to monitor. Benteke boasts an average of 0.57 goals per 90 minutes across 80 career starts. The Belgian striker has played 6,958 minutes and has scored 44 goals, to date amassing 97 career points and assisting on 9 occasions.
Who will emerge victorious in today’s match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn’s Prediction: Bet on D.C. United (+110)
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