- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Event Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025
- Venue: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ
- Broadcast: ESPN
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The Las Vegas Aces (30-14) are set to clash with the Phoenix Mercury (27-17) at PHX Arena on Wednesday as they compete in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. The Aces currently lead the series 2-0 and enter Game 3 as 4.5-point underdogs. The over/under for the game is set at 163.5 points.
In Game 2, the Aces secured a significant victory with a final score of 91-78. Las Vegas achieved a field goal percentage of 49.3% (37 of 75) and managed to convert 8 of their 23 three-point attempts. At the free-throw line, the Aces made 9 of 13 for an accuracy rate of 69.2%. They gathered a total of 33 rebounds, including 8 offensive boards, and provided 24 assists during the game, forcing their opponents into 12 turnovers while recording 9 steals. On defense, Las Vegas held Phoenix to a shooting percentage of 40.8% (29 out of 71). Meanwhile, the Mercury managed 6 assists and registered 4 steals. Phoenix collected 35 rebounds in total (6 offensive, 29 defensive) and recorded 4 blocks, finishing the game with an 83.3% free throw accuracy after making 15 out of 18 shots, though they were only able to score 5 out of 28 attempts from beyond the arc.
Jackie Young was a standout player in this matchup, contributing 32 points on 12 of 20 shooting. Logging 34 minutes on the court, she also grabbed 8 rebounds and provided 2 assists, finishing with an impressive shooting percentage of 60.0%.
Entering this contest, the Las Vegas Aces hold a season record of 30-14. The team has a three-point shooting percentage of 35.1% (400 of 1,138) and an impressive free-throw percentage of 82.4%. Averaging 83.6 points per game (6th in the WNBA), Las Vegas hits 43.9% of their field goal attempts. They currently average 11.9 turnovers and commit 16.6 fouls per game. As a unit, the Aces average 33.5 rebounds per game and have recorded 861 assists this season, ranking 9th in the league for passes. On the defensive side, they create 12.5 turnovers per game while accumulating 17.2 personal fouls. The Aces allow a shooting percentage of 43.6% (551 of 758) while conceding an average of 35.0 rebounds per game. They rank 9th in assists allowed, permitting a total of 897 for the season and limiting opponents to a 31.6% success rate from three-point range, while also standing 7th in the league for points allowed per game (80.7).
In Game 2, the Mercury gathered 29 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds, summing up to a total of 35. They committed 12 turnovers yet managed to generate 4 steals during the match. The Aces were penalized with 12 fouls, granting the Mercury 18 free throw opportunities, of which they successfully converted 15 (83.3%). Shooting from beyond the arc, Phoenix managed only 5 out of 28 attempts (17.9%). Overall, they shot 29 out of 71 from the field, corresponding to a percentage of 40.8%. The Mercury’s defense allowed the Aces to shoot 49.3% (37 out of 75) and yielded 8 offensive rebounds to Las Vegas.
Kahleah Copper was a key contributor for the Mercury, hitting 9 out of 18 shots with a field goal percentage of 50.0%, while also collecting 3 rebounds. Copper scored 23 points in her 31 minutes but did not record any assists.
The Mercury hold a win-loss record of 27-17 this season. They have compiled a total of 3,643 points for an average of 82.8 points per game and average 34.7 rebounds. Phoenix commits 17.8 personal fouls per game while boasting a free throw shooting percentage of 78.4%. In terms of offensive efficiency, the Mercury achieve a shooting percentage of 43.3%, ranking 9th in the league. They average 21.0 assists per game (5th in the league) while turning the ball over 12.5 times. Defensively, the Mercury rank 5th for points allowed with an average of 80.1 per game. They grant opposing teams a shooting percentage of 32.1% beyond the arc and allow a free throw success rate of 80.4%. On average, Phoenix allows 19.7 assists and 35.3 rebounds per game, ranking 6th and 10th respectively. They create turnovers at a rate of 13.8 per game and hold opponents to a 42.7% shooting percentage (4th in the league).
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s WNBA matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Back Las Vegas (+4.5)
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