Matchup: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
Venue: Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Broadcast: Chicago Sports Network
Betting Odds: Cleveland (-152) Chicago (+126)
The Cleveland Guardians (43-48) are set to visit Rate Field this Saturday for an exciting matchup against the Chicago White Sox (31-62). Current odds position Cleveland at -152, while Chicago is marked at +126. The game’s over/under is set at 9 runs, with Tanner Bibee and Sean Burke slated as the starting pitchers.
The Cleveland Guardians have been averaging 3.7 runs per game, ranking 26th in Major League Baseball. They have accumulated 333 runs with an on-base percentage of .295. The team has hit 128 doubles and 92 home runs. With 318 RBIs and 665 hits, Cleveland holds a batting average of .224. Their slugging percentage is at .366, with 744 strikeouts and 281 walks this season.
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The Guardians’ pitching staff has maintained an earned run average of 3.97, placing them 18th in the league, accumulating 767 strikeouts. They have yielded 95 home runs and a total of 384 runs (15th overall). With 335 walks issued, their FIP stands at 4.08. Cleveland has allowed 756 hits this season, averaging 8.5 per nine innings, resulting in 355 earned runs. Their strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.29 with a WHIP of 1.36.
Cleveland’s bullpen boasts a save rate of 71.4% across 100 save opportunities. Relievers have faced 112 inherited runners, with 38.4% scoring. They have entered games with runners on base 79 times, participating in 95 high-leverage situations. This season, the Guardians have utilized 306 relief pitchers, recording 64 holds (4th in the league) and achieving 25 saves while failing to convert 10 out of 35 save chances.
The Cincinnati Reds have registered 2,415 putouts, 730 assists, and 65 errors this season, giving them a fielding percentage of .980, ranking 28th. They have turned 69 double plays. The Guardians convert 68.5% of balls in play into outs, ranking 24th across 7,245 innings played.
Tanner Bibee has pitched for 418 innings, striking out 418 batters in his MLB career. His ERA stands at 3.53 (allowing 164 ERs) with a WHIP of 1.167. He has given up 368 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and issued 120 walks. Bibee holds a career win-loss record of 26-21 with a FIP of 3.48 facing 1,729 batters in the majors.
The Chicago White Sox currently have an on-base percentage of .296 and a batting average of .222. They have been struck out 794 times (12th in the league) and achieved 672 hits. Chicago has hit 71 home runs and driven in 303 runs this season. Their team slugging percentage is .345, scoring an average of 3.42 runs per game (28th in the league). The squad has 142 doubles, 301 walks, and 318 runs overall.
The White Sox pitching staff showcases a team WHIP of 1.396 with a FIP of 4.52 this season. They rank 21st in the league by allowing a total of 785 hits. The White Sox’s pitchers have permitted 410 runs, resulting in a 4.14 ERA (370 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 7.40 (659 strikeouts vs. 338 walks), yielding 100 home runs and allowing 4.59 runs per nine innings (22nd in MLB).
This season, the bullpen has been called into action for 27 save opportunities, achieving 12 saves, but sits at 30th in MLB with a save rate of 44.4%. They have sent 287 relievers to the mound, appearing in 82 high-leverage situations and 83 times with runners on base. The inherited score percentage stands at 28.9% for 121 inherited runners. The White Sox have recorded 42 holds and 15 blown saves across 69 save situations.
In the field, the Chicago White Sox have completed 80 double plays and maintain a fielding percentage of .983 (26th in professional baseball). This season, they have 768 assists, 56 errors, and achieved 2,414 putouts. Their defensive efficiency stands at 69.5% (18th in professional baseball) across 7,242 innings.
Sean Burke has given up 102 hits in 111 innings pitched, notching 97 strikeouts. He has allowed 48 earned runs while maintaining a WHIP of 1.351 and a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 2.02, having faced 480 batters throughout his MLB career. With a career record of 6-8, Burke’s earned run average is 3.89, allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn’s Selection: Choose Chicago (+126)
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