- Matchup: New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints
- Date: Sunday, October 12, 2025
- Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
- Broadcast: CBS
- Betting Odds: Saints (+3.5)
- Total Points Over/Under: 46
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This season, the New England Patriots come in with a record of 3-2. In their most recent matchup, the Patriots secured a victory against the Buffalo Bills, winning 23-20. Quarterback Drake Maye completed 22 of 30 passes for 273 yards, achieving a quarterback rating of 101.1 without throwing any interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson led the ground game for New England, rushing 7 times for just 14 yards (averaging 2.0 yards per carry). Stefon Diggs delivered a strong performance, catching 10 passes for 146 yards, averaging 14.6 yards per reception. The Patriots rushed a total of 22 times, accumulating 71 yards, averaging 3.2 yards per carry. Overall, they managed 52 offensive plays that converted into 338 total yards. On defense, New England allowed 22 completions out of 31 attempts for a total of 245 yards with a completion percentage of 71.0%. The Patriots also gave up 118 rushing yards on 29 attempts, resulting in an average of 4.1 yards per rush.
Regarding offensive output, the Patriots average 25.0 points per game. They rank 27th in the NFL with an average of 95.2 rushing yards per game. New England’s total offensive yardage stands at 1,683 yards for the season, with 58 first downs recorded and having incurred 42 penalties totaling 346 yards, leading to 7 turnovers (2 interceptions and 5 fumbles). In the end zone, the Patriots have scored 7 touchdown passes and 6 rushing touchdowns.
In terms of defensive capabilities, New England has allowed 1,211 passing yards, ranking 27th in the league. They concede an average of 242.2 passing yards per game with a completion percentage allowed of 71.2%. On the ground, they’ve surrendered 428 rushing yards across 5 games this season, with 9 passing touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns permitted. Overall, they allow 327.8 total yards per outing, placing them 18th in the NFL. Opponents average 3.5 yards per carry against them, amounting to an average of 85.6 rushing yards allowed per game. The Patriots rank 10th in the league, allowing 20.2 points per game to their opponents.
The Saints enter this contest with a 1-4 record. In their latest game, they secured a win against the New York Giants with a score of 26-14. Spencer Rattler completed 21 of 31 passes for 225 yards, earning a quarterback rating of 99.5 and no interceptions, averaging 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Kendre Miller contributed to the Saints’ ground game with 10 carries for 41 yards, registering an average of 4.1 yards per carry. Chris Olave was the standout receiver, recording 7 catches for 59 yards (averaging 8.4 yards per reception). The Saints averaged just 2.9 rushing yards per carry, totaling 88 yards on 30 attempts. Overall, they generated 332 yards on 62 plays, averaging 5.4 yards per play. Defensive statistics show that the Saints allowed a completion percentage of 65.0%, yielding 199 passing yards on 26 of 40 attempts while conceding 136 rushing yards on 29 carries (averaging 4.7 yards per rush).
The New Orleans Saints hold an average of 307.2 total yards per game, positioning them 24th in the NFL. Their running game averages 116.8 yards per game, totalling 584 yards. They’ve seen 2 interceptions and 1 lost fumble while accumulating 53 first downs. The Saints have also permitted 295 total yards due to 42 penalties, placing them 9th in the NFL concerning assists to opposing teams. For the season, New Orleans has passed for 952 yards, averaging 190.4 yards per game, which ranks 25th in the league. In scoring, they are currently 27th, averaging 18.4 points per game.
Defensively, the Saints are allowing 27.0 points per game, ranking 24th in the NFL. They have surrendered 11 passing touchdowns and average 204.0 passing yards allowed per game, which places them 9th in the league. Additionally, New Orleans has yielded a total of 611 rushing yards (averaging 122.2 yards per game) and 4 rushing touchdowns for the season. The Saints’ defense has been involved in 310 scrimmage plays, placing them 21st in the NFL while forcing 8 turnovers (5 fumbles and 3 interceptions) throughout the year. Overall, they have permitted 135 total points.
Who will emerge victorious in the Patriots vs. Saints matchup against the spread?
Prediction: Choose the Saints +3.5
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