- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025
- Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: TBS
- Betting Odds: Philadelphia (+132), Los Angeles (-110)
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On Wednesday, the Los Angeles Dodgers (93-69) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (96-66) in Game 3 of the NLDS at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers currently hold a 2-0 lead in the series. Betting odds present the Phillies at +132 and the Dodgers at -110, with an over/under set at 7 runs. Aaron Nola and Yoshinobu Yamamoto are slated to be the starting pitchers for this matchup.
The Philadelphia Phillies are currently averaging 4.8 runs per game, ranking 8th in the league. They have accumulated a total of 778 runs scored, alongside a team on-base percentage of .328. The Phillies have hit 268 doubles and launched 212 home runs, accumulating 753 RBIs and 1,426 hits this season, with a batting average of .258. Their slugging percentage stands at .431, with 1,337 strikeouts and 528 walks drawn this year.
In terms of pitching, the Phillies’ strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.38, and their WHIP is 1.23. Their pitching staff has allowed 177 home runs and 648 total runs, placing them 6th in the league. Philadelphia has given up 1,342 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 607 earned runs this season, maintaining a collective earned run average (ERA) of 3.79, which ranks 9th in the league. Their pitching staff has tallied 1,471 strikeouts and walked 435 opposing batters, with a collective FIP of 3.71.
The Phillies’ bullpen has a save percentage of 63.5%, having been called into action in 160 save situations this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 151 runners, with a scoring percentage of 31.8%. The bullpen has had 179 high-leverage appearances and has utilized 506 relievers this season. They have achieved 83 holds (ranked 21st in the league) and converted 47 of 74 save opportunities.
This season, the Philadelphia Phillies have recorded 4,321 putouts, 1,383 assists, and 62 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .989, placing them 5th in Major League Baseball (MLB). They have successfully converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs across 12,963 innings, ranking 21st in the league.
Aaron Nola has pitched 1,715 innings, resulting in 1,876 strikeouts with a career ERA of 3.83 (730 earned runs allowed) and a WHIP of 1.149. He has given up 1,522 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and issued 449 walks. Nola possesses a career record of 109-89 and has faced 7,039 opposing hitters, with a FIP of 3.77.
The Dodgers boast a team slugging percentage of .441 and average 5.09 runs scored per game, positioning them 2nd in MLB. They have hit 257 doubles, 244 home runs, and racked up 825 RBIs, with 1,384 total hits and a batting average of .253. Los Angeles has struck out 1,353 times, ranking 16th in the league, while maintaining an on-base percentage of .327.
As a pitching unit, the Dodgers hold a WHIP of 1.258 and a FIP of 3.93. They are 5th in MLB in total hits allowed, having surrendered 1,250. The Dodgers’ pitching staff has given up 683 runs this season, with an ERA of 3.95 (633 earned runs), along with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 9.40 (1,505 strikeouts against 563 walks) and 175 home runs allowed, averaging 4.27 runs surrendered per 9 innings (11th in the league).
The Los Angeles bullpen holds an inherited scoring percentage of 26.1% from 230 inherited base runners. Their relievers have pitched in 186 high-leverage situations and 149 times with runners on base. In 206 save situations, the Dodgers have amassed 128 holds and 27 blown saves, with a league-ranking save percentage of 63.0%. A total of 581 relievers have been utilized this season.
Across 12,969 innings, the Dodgers have achieved a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (ranked 11th in MLB), recording 102 double plays and a fielding percentage of .988, placing them 6th in the league. They have made 1,346 assists, committed 68 errors, and achieved 4,323 putouts this season.
Yamamoto, with a career record of 19-10, has an impressive ERA of 2.67, allowing only 6.5 hits per nine innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is 3.78, and he has faced a total of 1,052 opposing hitters in his professional career. He has allowed 78 earned runs, maintaining a WHIP of 1.033 and a FIP of 2.6. Throughout his career, Yamamoto has permitted 191 hits while securing 306 strikeouts in 263 innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB contest, whether against the spread or on the moneyline?
Prediction: Bet on Los Angeles (-110)
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