- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
- Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- Broadcast: TBS
- Betting Line: Milwaukee (-132), Chicago (+110)
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In Game 3 of the NLDS, the Chicago Cubs (92-70) will face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (97-65) at Wrigley Field on Wednesday. Currently, the Brewers lead the series 2-0. The moneyline favors Milwaukee at -132, while Chicago is listed at +110. The total is set at 7 runs. Quinn Priester and Jameson Taillon are set to start on the mound.
This season, Milwaukee boasts a slugging percentage of .403, with a total of 1,266 strikeouts and 564 walks. They have accumulated 750 RBIs and made 1,423 hits, resulting in a batting average of .258. The Brewers have hit 265 doubles and launched 166 home runs, totaling 806 runs scored, which averages out to 5.0 runs per game, placing them 3rd in the league.
On the pitching side, the Brewers hold a 3.58 earned run average (2nd in the league) and have struck out 1,432 batters. They have allowed 168 home runs and given up 634 runs overall (3rd in the league). The squad has issued 534 walks, with a FIP of 3.91. On average, they give up 7.7 hits per 9 innings, having allowed 1,237 hits and 574 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio stands at 2.68, and they maintain a WHIP of 1.23.
Brewers’ pitchers have entered games with runners on base 145 times, facing 187 high-leverage scenarios. The bullpen has recorded 107 holds this season (4th in MLB), with a save percentage of 68.2% from 177 save opportunities, successfully converting 45 saves while blowing 21 saves out of 66 chances. This year, their relief pitchers have inherited 218 base runners, with 31.7% scoring. They have utilized 550 relievers throughout the season.
Defensively, the Brewers have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs over 12,978 innings, ranking them 5th in Major League Baseball. This season, the Miami Marlins have tallied 4,326 putouts, 1,297 assists, and 76 errors, resulting in a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in professional baseball), along with 122 double plays.
Looking at Quinn Priester (19-12 career record), he holds a FIP of 4.39, having faced 1,108 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 259 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and issued 91 walks, with an ERA of 4.46 (allowing 127 earned runs) over 256 innings, accumulating 201 strikeouts in his MLB journey.
For the Chicago Cubs, this season has seen them hit 223 home runs and log 771 RBIs along with 267 doubles. They have walked 554 times and recorded 793 runs scored. The Cubs have an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .249. Their slugging percentage is at .430, averaging 4.90 runs per game (5th in the league), while striking out 1,277 times (25th in the league) with a total of 1,371 hits.
On the mound, the Cubs have allowed 649 runs this year, resulting in a team ERA of 3.79 (605 earned runs allowed). They have permitted 202 home runs and give up 4.07 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). With a WHIP of 1.177, they maintain a FIP of 4.16 and have a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (1,265 strikeouts to 405 walks), ranking 10th for total hits allowed with 1,284.
Chicago’s bullpen shows a 33.8% inherited score rate out of 142 inherited runners. They have appeared 158 times in high-leverage situations and 101 times with runners on base. The Cubs’ save opportunities stand at 177, with 110 holds and 20 blown saves, resulting in a save percentage of 68.8% (4th in the league). They have used 523 bullpen pitchers this year, securing 44 saves from 64 chances.
Defensively, the Cubs have completed 117 double plays and hold a .989 fielding percentage (4th in the majors). They have recorded 1,342 assists, 61 errors, and 4,305 putouts this season, resulting in a defensive efficiency rate of 71.9% (2nd in baseball) over 12,915 innings.
In his career, Taillon has allowed 1,182 hits while striking out 1,073 batters across 1,236 innings pitched. He has conceded 532 earned runs, earning a WHIP of 1.194 and a FIP of 3.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.65, having faced 5,128 batters throughout his professional career. Taillon holds a career record of 82 wins and 60 losses, with an ERA of 3.87 and an average of 8.6 hits allowed per nine innings.
Who will emerge victorious in tonight’s MLB matchup against the spread or on the moneyline?
Pick: Opt for Chicago (+110) and the under on 9 runs
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