- Matchup: LSU Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores
- Passing Yards Prop: 220 – Over (+110) Under (-145)
- Completions Prop: 19 – Over (-113) Under (-113)
- Pass Attempts Prop: 27 – Over (-128) Under (Even)
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On Saturday, October 18, 2025, Diego Pavia and the Vanderbilt Commodores will face off against the LSU Tigers at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN. Pavia’s prop statistics for this game include 220 passing yards, 27 passing attempts, and 19 completed passes.
Diego Pavia Season Overview
Pavia is currently averaging 10.0 rushing attempts and 2.3 touchdown passes per game. He has accumulated a total of 352 rushing yards and averages 234.8 passing yards per game. His throwing metrics are solid, with an average of 26.8 passing attempts each game. In terms of completion percentage, he excels, boasting a 71.4% completion rate. To date this season, Pavia has recorded 1,409 passing yards and ranks 57th nationally in touchdown percentage at 8.7%. He completes an average of 19.2 passes per game and has thrown for 14 touchdown passes.

Diego Pavia Recent Performance
In his last five games, Pavia averages 19.0 completed passes and has made a total of 137 passing attempts. He has excelled in achieving first downs through passing, securing 62 first downs. His average passing yardage over this span is 226.8, with 11 touchdown passes and an average of 1.0 interception per game. His interception rate stands at 3.6%, while he averages 12.3 passing first downs each game.
| Rival | Passing Yards | Completions | Passing Attempts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 198 | 21 | 36 |
| Utah State | 321 | 26 | 34 |
| Georgia State | 245 | 18 | 24 |
| South Carolina | 177 | 18 | 25 |
| Virginia Tech | 193 | 12 | 18 |
Diego Pavia Last 10 Matches
Over his last 10 games, Pavia maintains a 64.7% completion rate, averaging 255 passing yards. He records an average of 1.9 touchdown passes and 202.5 passing yards per game during this stretch. Pavia shows strong performance in terms of completions, averaging 16.5 successful passes per game. He has achieved a total of 19 passing touchdowns in this span and 115 passing first downs. In terms of accuracy, Pavia has made 165 completed passes, with a 2.4% interception rate and 0.0% sack rate.
Diego Pavia Career Overview
Throughout his career, Pavia has completed 60.5% of his passes and has a touchdown conversion rate of 7.2%. He has recorded 23 rushing touchdowns and made 1,015 passing attempts with 23 interceptions. His career average is 176.6 passing yards per game, with an interception rate of 2.3%.
Vanderbilt Commodores Offense Analysis
The Commodores are averaging 208.7 rushing yards per game and have achieved 123 pass completions. They have totaled 1,252 rushing yards this season and rank 10th nationally in touchdown percentage at 8.4%. Over the season, this SEC team has amassed 2,805 total yards and has an interception rate of 2.4%, placing them 73rd in Division 1. Vanderbilt averages 258.8 passing yards per game with 29.7 passing attempts, ranking 74th in the country.
LSU Tigers Defensive Overview
This season, the Tigers are allowing a 58.0% completion rate against neutral opponents. The LSU defense permits 0.7 rushing touchdowns and an average of 31.7 rushing attempts per game. Ranking 42nd in Division 1, they yield 194.5 passing yards per game and have allowed a total of 615 rushing yards. The Tigers give up an average of 0.7 passing touchdowns per game, with 4 passing touchdowns allowed this season. They rank 28th nationally in interception rate allowed, at 3.9%.
Recommendation: Bet on the Under Completions (-113)
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