Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction for 10/17/2025: NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Home » Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction for 10/17/2025: NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

  • Matchup: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings
  • Date: Friday, October 17, 2025
  • Venue: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
  • Broadcast: Fanduel Sports Network
  • Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (+106) vs Red Wings (-128)

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At Little Caesars Arena, the Detroit Red Wings (3-1-0) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2-1) this Friday. The odds for the matchup list Tampa Bay at +106 while Detroit stands at -128. The total for betting is set at 6.5.

NHL Picks Brayden Point Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning are eager to secure a victory after suffering a 3-2 loss to the Capitals in their last game. Tampa Bay incurred 10 penalty minutes during the match, showing deficiencies in offensive execution. They managed just 2 goals from 19 shots, only converting once on 2 power play opportunities.

The Lightning’s opponents have capitalized on 16 power play chances (ranking 6th overall), scoring twice in those situations. Tampa Bay has allowed 126 shots against, holding a modest save percentage of .873. With 84 shots taken, they have achieved a shooting percentage of 15.5%. At even strength, the Lightning have conceded 14 goals while scoring 10. They have had 10 power play opportunities, converting 3 for a rate of 30.00%. Currently, they have 3 points with a points percentage of .375, totaling 13 goals (12th in NHL) while allowing 16.

The Lightning’s goaltender for this matchup will be Andrei Vasilevskiy. Over his NHL career, which includes 543 appearances, Vasilevskiy holds a record of 331-165-36, having started in 533 games. He has conceded 1,347 goals with a goals-against average of 2.53. With 16,199 shots faced, he has secured 14,852 saves, boasting a save percentage of .917 across 28,627 minutes played. Throughout his career, Vasilevskiy has achieved 306 quality starts with a quality start percentage of .574.

In their last outing, the Detroit Red Wings sought victory against the Panthers and succeeded 4-1. They had 3 attempts on the power play, converting 1, and managed a total of 4 goals from 25 shots on goal.

This season, the Detroit Red Wings have scored 14 goals, earning 6 points and a points percentage of .750. They’ve allowed 11 goals, comprising 10 at even strength and 1 while shorthanded. The Red Wings scored 10 goals at even strength and 4 on the power play (ranked 4th in the league). With 15 power play chances, their conversion rate is at 26.67%. Detroit has fired off 106 shots (ranking 19th overall) with a shooting percentage of 13.21%, while surrendering 101 shots. They maintain a penalty kill rate of 88.89% against opponents’ 9 power plays, along with a save percentage of 89.1%.

On the other end of the ice, John Gibson will represent the opposition. Gibson’s career stats show a record of 204-218-63 across 507 games. His quality starts percentage stands at 54.1%, having achieved 268 quality starts. He has saved 14,041 out of 15,433 shots, resulting in a .910 save percentage. The average goals allowed per game is 2.81, totaling 1,392 goals given up throughout his career, spanning 495 starts and 26,820 minutes of ice time.

Who will clinch the victory in tonight’s NHL clash, covering the spread or securing the moneyline?

Chosen Pick: Select Detroit (-128)

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Pick: Detroit Red Wings (-128)
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