- Matchup: Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels
- Date: Saturday, October 25, 2025
- Venue: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
- Broadcast: ACC Network
- Betting Line: Tar Heels (+10.5)
- Over/Under: 52
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This Saturday, October 25, 2025, the North Carolina Tar Heels (2-4) are set to clash with the Virginia Cavaliers (6-1) at Kenan Stadium. North Carolina is starting as 10.5-point underdogs, with the over/under set at 52.
The Virginia Cavaliers boast a strong record of 6-1 this season. In their previous game, they triumphed over the Washington State Cougars, winning 22-20. Throughout that contest, they ran 57 plays and accumulated 301 yards. The Cavaliers had 32 rushing attempts, netting 122 yards, averaging 3.8 yards per carry. Defensively, they allowed 135 rushing yards on 35 attempts, giving up 3.9 yards per rush. In the air, Virginia permitted 18 completions on 27 throws for 183 yards, achieving a completion rate of 66.7%.
Offensively, the Virginia Cavaliers are putting up an impressive average of 40.0 points per game. They rank 26th in college football with an average of 203.9 rushing yards per game. This season, Virginia has recorded a total of 3,236 yards. In terms of scoring, the Cavaliers have achieved 12 passing touchdowns and 20 rushing touchdowns, totaling 160 first downs while committing 40 penalties for 318 yards. They have turned the ball over 5 times.
On the defensive side, the Cavaliers are currently ranked 61st nationally, allowing 23.3 points per game. They have permitted opposing teams to rush for an average of 3.7 yards per carry and 120.9 rushing yards per game this season, totaling 846 rushing yards across 7 games. In the passing game, Virginia has conceded 1,623 yards, ranking them 95th in Division 1. They allow an average of 231.9 passing yards per game, with a completion percentage against of 63.1%. Overall, they are giving up 352.7 yards per game, placing them 55th nationally, having allowed 9 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns.
The Tar Heels enter this matchup with a 2-4 season record. Their last outing resulted in a narrow loss to the California Golden Bears, finishing 21-18. In that game, North Carolina recorded a total of 287 yards on 64 plays (averaging 4.5 yards per play). They rushed for 120 yards on 29 carries, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt. Defensively, the Tar Heels allowed 31 rushing attempts for 80 yards, averaging 2.6 yards per rush, while their pass defense faced 40 attempts, allowing a 55.0% completion rate for 214 yards.
When it comes to scoring, the Tar Heels rank 124th in Division 1, averaging just 18.7 points per game. Offensively, North Carolina is averaging 267.7 yards per contest, placing them 133rd nationally. They have accumulated 301 yards in penalties from 29 infractions, ranking 124th in Division 1 for aiding their opponents. This season, they have thrown 4 interceptions and lost 5 fumbles while achieving 92 first downs. In passing, they have amassed 975 yards, averaging 162.5 yards per game, which positions them 122nd in Division 1. Additionally, they average 105.2 rushing yards per game, totaling 631 yards this season.
Defensively, the Tar Heels have yielded a total of 715 rushing yards (119.2 yards/game) along with 7 rushing touchdowns. They have allowed 9 touchdowns through the air and 240.8 yards per game, ranking them 98th nationally. They have given up 150 total points this season, recovered 3 fumbles, and intercepted 4 passes. Having been on the field for 413 plays, North Carolina ranks 19th in the country for defensive workload, allowing an average of 25.0 points per game, placing them 74th in Division 1.
Who will emerge victorious in today’s Cavaliers vs. Tar Heels matchup against the spread?
Expert’s Prediction: Select the Cavaliers -10.5
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